신년사로 본 김일성․김정일의 대남인식과 대남정책 비교

Abstract

This research is to investigate possibility of further change in North Korea, by looking at how much there has been a change in North Korea perspective on South Korea as the ‘Kim Il-sung era’ has turned into the ‘Kim Jung-Il era’ and how much there has been a change on South and North Korean relationship. Abbreviation on analysis, Kim Jung-Il, rather than Kim Il-Sung has used positive/negative vocabulary on South Korea a lot and also there has been in not only a positive relationship but a negative relationship between South and North Korea. It indicates that a lot of negative relation cut a conspicuous figure in ‘Kim Jung-Il era’, rather than ‘Kim Il-Sung era’ though it has increased positive/negative relation not concerned with positive/negative recognition. Especially, it is not convincing that we could recognize it the more positive, the more negative relation. So, these results are not consistant with usual thoughts. Also, Interrelationship analysis of ‘Kim Jung-Il era’ on negative recognition and negative relationship shows us plus linear relationship (0.145). Interrelationship analysis on positive recognition and negative relationship show us much more plus linear relationship (0.455). Putting these various analysis together, Kim Jung-Il is more dynamic and has more hostile attitude toward South Korea than his father, Kim Il-sung. Summing up these objective analysis, this will come to the following tendency that North Korea has taken aggressive action toward South Korea through interchange and cooperation between South and North Korea rather than actual improvement between them. From national liberation to this day, fundamental relationship between South and North Korea has not changed a lot inspite of a number of interchange and cooperation between them. Instead, North Korea take aggressive bussiness action preferentially during South and North Korea relationship and improvement of relationship is used to clear up internal-external criticism just like an expediant accompanied by aggressive state undertakings related to South Korea. If North Korea had wanted to improve relationship between South and North Korea sincerely, they didn't aggressive state undertaking toward South Korea having talks. In conclusion, Kim Jung-Il has succeded like that and also deepend hostile consciousness of Kim Il-Sung during succesion of authority.