CBER(Consortia Block Exemption Regulation) 폐지에 따른 정기선 해운시장 전망
Outlook of the Container Shipping Market Following the Repeal of the CBER (Consortia Block Exemption Regulation)
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초록
본 연구는 2024년에 예정된 CBER의 폐지가 정기선 해운산업에 미치는 잠재적 변화를 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 주요 항로별 해운 얼라이언스의 시장 점유율을 종합적으로 분석함으로써, CBER 폐지 후 예상되는 시장의 조정과 해운사들의 전략적 대응 가능성을 탐색하였다. 연구 결과, 해운 얼라이언스들이 현재 CBER의 시장 점유율 기준을 상회하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 규제 폐지 이후에는 현재의 30% 시장 점유율 기준점이 하향 조정되어 선복량을 조절하는 전략을 채택할 것으로 전망된다. 이와 더불어, 정기선사들이 단순 운송에서 벗어나 복합운송 서비스로의 전환과 함께, 가치 중심의 고객 관계 구축을 통해 시장 경쟁력을 강화할 것으로 전망된다. 본 연구는 해운산업의 이해당사자들에게 CBER 폐지가 해운산업에 미칠 수 있는 다양한 시나리오를 제공함으로써, 미래의 전략적 결정을 내리는 데 있어 유용한 통찰력을 제공하고자 하였다.
Abstract
This study aims to analyze the potential changes in the liner shipping industry that could result from the scheduled abolition of the Consortia Block Exemption Regulation (CBER) in 2024. By comprehensively analyzing the market share of shipping alliances across major routes, the study explores the market adjustments and strategic responses of shipping companies anticipated post-CBER abolition. Findings indicate that shipping alliances currently exceed the market share thresholds set by CBER. Post-abolition, it is projected that strategies to restrict market share to 30% and adjust vessel capacity will be adopted. Additionally, it is expected that liner companies will transition from simple transport services to integrated multimodal services, strengthening market competitiveness through the establishment of value-centered customer relationships. This study provides stakeholders in the maritime industry with various scenarios that may arise from the revocation of CBER, offering valuable insights for future strategic decisions.
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