전환기 국제질서와 아세안 중립성: 한반도 평화에 대한 시사점
ASEAN Neutrality in the Chinaging International Order and its Implications for Korean Peninsula Peace
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초록
이 논문은 아세안의 중립성의 규범화 배경을 설명하고 규범적 성격과 함께 전략적 측면이 동시에 존재함을 주목하고 전환기 국제질서 속에 한반도 평화 프로세스에 대한 시사점을 도출하고자 한다. 특히, 최근 미·중 간 패권 경쟁에서 비롯된 거대 지역 담론과 관여를 둘러싼 갈등 심화와 우크라이나 전쟁은 국제질서의 변화를 야기하고 한반도 정세에도 영향을 미치고 있다. 아세안의 중립성에 기반한 대응은 강대국 갈등에 대한 규범적 전략의 성격을 갖는다. 아세안의 중립과 중심성을 강조하는 아세안의 규범의 형성과 이행과정은 강대국 힘의 정치의 부정적 영향을 최소화하고 역내 갈등의 완화에도 기여할 수 있다. 한편, 상이한 국가적 이해를 위한 수단으로 제한될 경우 중립성의 규범적 지위는 약화되고 전략적 활용될 가능성이 큼을 주장하고자 한다.
Abstract
This paper aims to provide an explanation for the contextualization of ASEAN's neutrality norm institutionalization, highlighting the simultaneous existence of normative and strategic dimensions. Moreover, it seeks to derive implications for the peace process on the Korean Peninsula within the transitional international order. Notably, the ongoing conflict escalation and deepening tensions surrounding the discourse and engagement of major powers, resulting from the recent power competition between the United States and China and the Ukraine War, are effectively promoting alterations in the global order while exerting a significant influence on the Korean Peninsula's geopolitical landscape. Consequently, the present juncture assumes critical importance in evaluating the potential efficacy of ASEAN norms in the global arena. While a middle-ground approach in the form of normative strategy can be considered, this study contends that actively pursuing divergent national interpretations throughout the normative formation and implementation process would diminish the normative status of neutrality, substantially augmenting its utilization potential as a normative strategy.
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