미국과 중국의 한반도 전략에 따른 동아시아 지역경제 영향 연구

Abstract

This study analyzes the strategic changes of the US and China in the Korean Peninsula issue and the corresponding geopolitical factors in East Asia through North Korea's response. In particular, the geopolitical factors were analyzed through the channel passage dilemma model to analyze the concerns between countries with interests and the specificity of North Korea's nuclear issue. North Korea's nuclear weapons have been maintained for a long time as a very threatening factor to regional security, but the great powers such as the United States and China have not been able to obtain immediate solutions or conclusions due to the special nature of the nuclear weapons. In addition, North Korea is steadily pursuing a strategy to take advantage of the negotiations by strategically utilizing the geopolitical position of the Korean Peninsula and creating a multilateral structure that includes both China and the United States. North Korea prefers a step-by-step approach rather than an immediate compromise, and the United States is using strategic perseverance tactics with maximum pressure due to the burden of repeated negotiation failures. China pursues the role of a counterweight according to the situation with the greatest goal of regional stability. This structure could be explained by substituting different interest-seeking and approaches on how to distribute the benefits that can be obtained through the canal among the countries using a single canal. North Korea has a significantly lower national power than countries such as the United States and China, which are included as parties to the North Korean nuclear issue, but through its geopolitical position as East Asia and special strategic elements in the international community, such as nuclear, restricts canal and maximizes the return on canal use. In the up coming new administration in the United States, both US and China's strategy toward East Asia will make regional stability.