한반도 군사적 신뢰구축: 이론, 선례, 정책 대안

Abstract

Military Confidence Building has become a top policy agenda in the midst of South Korea's Sunshine Policy, North Korea's Open Door Policy toward the world, the normalization talks between Tokyo and Pyongyang, and increasing US interest in resolving the military issues on the Korean Peninsula from a holistic perspective. The recent revelation of North Korea's secret nuclear program could overshadow the importance of the confidence building issue but to find out a fundamental resolution of the nuclear issue, we need a comprehensive approach from the military confidence building and conventional and nuclear arms control perspective lest we would be entrenched in the issue-oriented approach again. This paper intends to define military confidence building and its measures and analyze past successful cases in Europe and elsewhere. As a result of the analysis, policy guidelines and policy measures are suggested specifically for the Korean peninsula. In conclusion, three sets of policy recommendations are followed: Conducting tripartite security talks including South Korea, North Korea and the United States, focusing more on constraint measures than on traditional confidence building measures, and establishing a linkage between economic assistance to Pyongyang and its intent to accept confidence building measures from Seoul and Washington.