북핵 문제의 성격과 해결을 위한 전략 구상
The Essence of the North Korean Nuclear Issue and the Strategic Process for Its Resolution
0
조회
0
다운로드
2
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This paper has the purpose of emphasizing the importance of seeking solution to North Korean nuclear issue under the broader context of the North Korea problem. The past experience of nuclear negotiations demonstrated that the 'give-and-take' method of negotiation could not resolve this issue. This signifies that stakeholder nations have little common interest in this issue. The tentative conclusion is that there needs to be restructuring of interests and transformation of the strategy of South Korea. The most urgent agenda is consensus-building for the five countries of the Six-Party Talks with expansion of common interests. With that as basis, it might be then possible to establish international network to implement the engagement policy that encourage reform and open-door policy of North Korea, that is, the nexus of the North Korea Problem. The essence of this process will be ultimately to construct the multilateral cooperation framework in Northeast Asia and establish international engagement towards North Korea under this framework. It will focus on eliciting commitment from Pyongyang to the international norm and contract, while providing reassurance that this would be favorable to their regime as well. This can be called the 'hedged engagement.' For the South Korean diplomacy, the whole idea of this strategic process could be considered the 'multi-tracked multi-multilateralism.'
Abstract
This paper has the purpose of emphasizing the importance of seeking solution to North Korean nuclear issue under the broader context of the North Korea problem. The past experience of nuclear negotiations demonstrated that the 'give-and-take' method of negotiation could not resolve this issue. This signifies that stakeholder nations have little common interest in this issue. The tentative conclusion is that there needs to be restructuring of interests and transformation of the strategy of South Korea. The most urgent agenda is consensus-building for the five countries of the Six-Party Talks with expansion of common interests. With that as basis, it might be then possible to establish international network to implement the engagement policy that encourage reform and open-door policy of North Korea, that is, the nexus of the North Korea Problem. The essence of this process will be ultimately to construct the multilateral cooperation framework in Northeast Asia and establish international engagement towards North Korea under this framework. It will focus on eliciting commitment from Pyongyang to the international norm and contract, while providing reassurance that this would be favorable to their regime as well. This can be called the 'hedged engagement.' For the South Korean diplomacy, the whole idea of this strategic process could be considered the 'multi-tracked multi-multilateralism.'
참고문헌 (34)
- 김경일, "6자회담과다자주의: 일방성과다자성에대한이론적검토를중심으로", 국제정치연구, 6(2), pp.31~51 (2003)
- 김태운, "북핵 6자회담의 다자주의 요소에 대한 고찰", 담론201, 8(3), pp.203~234 (2005), 한국사회역사학회
- 김흥규, "북한의제2차핵실험과중국의대북정책", 시대정신, (44), pp.98~122 (2009)
- 류길재, ""포스트 김정일시대 북한의 권력 구조 전망" in 북한, 어디로 가는가?: 14인의 전문가가 본 북한체제의 변화 전망", pp.73~118 (2009), 플래닛미디어
- 박건영, "한반도 비핵화의 해법", 역사비평, (88), pp.89~99 (2009), 역사문제연구소
- 박종철, "북핵문제의평화적해결방안", 대통령직속미래기획위원회·통일연구원 주관 통일 및 대북정책 학술회의 (2009)
- 서진영, "21세기중국외교정책:‘ 부강한중국’과한반도" (2006), 폴리테이아
- 유현석, "동북아 다자안보협력체의 가능성: 북핵 6자회담과 미국의 정책을 중심으로", 신아세아, 13(2), pp.79~100 (2006), 신아시아연구소
- 윤태영, "북핵 6자회담과 동북아 다자안보협력 구축 전망:쟁점, 제약요인, 과제", 세계지역연구논총, 24(3), pp.161~195 (2006), 한국세계지역학회
- 이근, "남북관계와 미국의 동북아정 - 이론적 검토 및 실천적 제안", 역사비평, (88), pp.52~79 (2009), 역사문제연구소
- 임동원, "피스메이커: 남북관계와북핵문제20년" (2008), 중앙북스
- 조동호, "최근북한의경제동향", 시대정신, (44), pp.70~97 (2009)
- Joseph S. Nye, "소프트파워" (2004), 세종연구원
- Charles L. Pritchard, "실패한외교: 부시, 네오콘 그리고 북핵 위기" (2008), 사계절
- 최명해, "중국·북한동맹관계: 불편한동거의역사" (2009), 오름
- 하영선, ""네트워크 지식국가: 늑대거미의 다보탑 쌓기" in 네트워크 지식국가: 21세기 세계정치의 변환" (2006), 을유문화사
- 한승주, "6자회담은진짜토끼인가?", 동아일보, 38~38 (2009)
- 船橋洋一, "김정일 최후의 도박: 북한 핵실험 막전막후 풀 스토리" (2007), 중앙일보시사미디어
- 연합뉴스, "2009년 9월 10일", 연합뉴스, ~ (2009)
- 조선일보, "2009년 9월 22일", 조선일보, 5~5 (2009)
- 중앙일보, "2009년 10월 1일", 중앙일보, 10~10 (2009)
- 한국일보, "2009년 10월 1일", 한국일보, 1~1 (2009)
- Cha, Victor D., "What Do They Really Want?: Obama’s North Korea Conundrum", The Washington Quarterly, 32(4), pp.119~138 (2009)
- Fukuyama, Francis, "Re-Envisioning Asia", Foreign Affairs, 84(1), pp.75~87 (2005)
- Fukuyama, Francis, "America at the Crossroads: Democracy, Power, and the Neoconservative Legacy" (2006), Yale University Press
- Nye, Jr., "Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics" (2004), Public Affairs
- O’Hanlon, "Crisis on the Korean Peninsula: How to Deal with a Nuclear North Korea" (2003), McGraw-Hill
- Park, John S., "Inside Multilateralism: The Six-Party Talks", The Washington Quarterly, 28(4), pp.75~91 (2005)
- Park, Sun-won, "A Proposal for a ‘Bosworth Process’ with North Korea: Denuclearization and Beyond", The Brookings Institution (2009)
- Pei, Minxin, "China’s Hedged Acquiescence: Coping with U.S. Hegemony in Power and Security in Northeast Asia: Shifting Strategies" (2007), Lynne Rienner Publishers
- Pritchard. Charles L., "Failed Diplomacy: The Tragic Story of How North Korea Got the Bomb" (2007), The Brookings Institution
- Shirk, Suan L., "China: Fragile Superpower" (2008), Oxford University Press
- Umbach, Frank, "The Future of Multilateralism in Asia", 국제관계연구, 9(1), pp.179~229 (2003)
- Zakaria, Fareed, "The Post American World" (2008), W. W. Norton & Co.
