RESOLVING THE KOREAN QUESTION: A COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH OR MUDDLING THROUGH?
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The comprehensive approach toward the North, suggested in the Perry report, aims at gradually reaching the positive-sum solution of the triangular relationship among the US, the South and the North: the United States lifts economic sanctions and normalizes its relationship with North Korea; North Korea ceases to engage in the WMD program by being assured of its regime survival; South Korea willingly accepts peaceful coexistence with the North. However, North Korea would prefer to adopt a "muddling-through" strategy rather than accepting the comprehensive proposal. In negotiations, North Korea would take "maximum strategy," which would slice the range of its concession as many as possible, while varying its negotiation lists. In order to avoid the situatin in which North Korea will muddle through, the United States, Japan, and South Korea need to devise a strategy that can increase their bargaining power. While maintaining the two-path strategy, those three countries need to think seriously about the tasks ahead, and what they should do to make the comprehensive approach successful.
Abstract
The comprehensive approach toward the North, suggested in the Perry report, aims at gradually reaching the positive-sum solution of the triangular relationship among the US, the South and the North: the United States lifts economic sanctions and normalizes its relationship with North Korea; North Korea ceases to engage in the WMD program by being assured of its regime survival; South Korea willingly accepts peaceful coexistence with the North. However, North Korea would prefer to adopt a "muddling-through" strategy rather than accepting the comprehensive proposal. In negotiations, North Korea would take "maximum strategy," which would slice the range of its concession as many as possible, while varying its negotiation lists. In order to avoid the situatin in which North Korea will muddle through, the United States, Japan, and South Korea need to devise a strategy that can increase their bargaining power. While maintaining the two-path strategy, those three countries need to think seriously about the tasks ahead, and what they should do to make the comprehensive approach successful.