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Pakistan’s Evolving Strategic Outlook: Strategy and Nuclear Deterrence

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It is argued that, Pakistan’s “full spectrum” nuclear strategy is based upon theconcept of proportionate calibration against the perceived threat of a limited strikeby the conventionally much superior military forces of India. Pakistan’s strategyis emitting robust signaling vis-à-vis the apparent strikes with the objective todeter the adversary from operationalizing its flawed limited war doctrine. Moreover,its strategic nuclear forces would perform the function of a dynamic reserve assetand as an ultimate deterrent against India. Most significantly, it would convinceIndia of consequences in the case of deliberate escalation of a crisis or plan ofa limited military operation. In essence, it also sufficiently reflects Pakistan’spreparation and “willingness to fight.” In the absence of a conflict resolutionmechanism, diplomatic dialogue, both countries’ nuclear deterrent capabilities areexpected to perpetuate the element of uncertainty especially during crises.

Abstract

It is argued that, Pakistan’s “full spectrum” nuclear strategy is based upon theconcept of proportionate calibration against the perceived threat of a limited strikeby the conventionally much superior military forces of India. Pakistan’s strategyis emitting robust signaling vis-à-vis the apparent strikes with the objective todeter the adversary from operationalizing its flawed limited war doctrine. Moreover,its strategic nuclear forces would perform the function of a dynamic reserve assetand as an ultimate deterrent against India. Most significantly, it would convinceIndia of consequences in the case of deliberate escalation of a crisis or plan ofa limited military operation. In essence, it also sufficiently reflects Pakistan’spreparation and “willingness to fight.” In the absence of a conflict resolutionmechanism, diplomatic dialogue, both countries’ nuclear deterrent capabilities areexpected to perpetuate the element of uncertainty especially during crises.

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