경찰단계에서의 소년범 위험성 평가에 의한 재범예측 연구 : 소년사건 처리시 전문가참여제

Abstract

The situation that juvenile crimes get more and more ferocious in substance and recidivism rate is not being lowered suggests that the existing juvenile Justice system is not effective any more in reducing the number of juvenile crimes. In this research, I analyzed whether ‘the specialist participation system in the investigation of juvenile offenders’, one of the various guidance programs suggested at this point of time, is statistically meaningful. Therefore, among juvenile offenders rounded up at the 31 police stations under the Seoul Metropolitan Police Agency from January to September 2011, a population of this research is 533 juvenile offenders investigated at three police stations where specialist participation system was used most often while investigating juvenile offenders. The ultimate objective of this research is to assess whether the specialist participation system is effective in figuring out the recidivism possibility by grasping the characteristics and mentality of the juvenile offender at the initial phase of investigation. The result of the analysis shows that, as most of juvenile offences are triggered by mere impulse or curiosity, there was no meaningful difference in delinquency triggering factors according to the types of offences. However, the analysis of recidivism possibility of respective low-risk and high-risk groups by each type of offence showed that all of six delinquency triggering factors are statistically meaningful. Besides that, it could be inferred that, without appropriate action or treatment, cases are being sent to the prosecutors’ office or juvenile offenders are being freed after admonition although the average of high-risk group is outstandingly higher than that of low-risk group in PAI. That is, it was assessed that the freeing of juvenile offenders without additional guidance measures had influence on the increase of recidivism. Lastly, the analysis of whether the specialist participation system in the investigation of juvenile offenders is meaningful in prospecting the recidivism possibility of respective low-risk and high-risk groups by grasping the characteristics and mentality of the juvenile offender at the initial phase of investigation showed 94.9% of accuracy rate. On the basis of the research results, I suggested the necessity of appropriate treatment considering the individual or environmental nature by revitalizing the specialist participation system at the initial phase of investigation.