우리나라 부동산 정책의 變化相(변화상) 연구: IMF를 기점으로 전후간 정책을 비교하여

Abstract

Korea has emerged from a huge swamp called the IMF, which it has never experienced before. Due to the IMF, the housing problem of ordinary people was especially serious. Since it is a pain that should never be experienced again, it is necessary to analyze real estate policies starting from the IMF from a time series perspective for future vigilance. This study reviewed housing policies of previous governments post the IMF. The framework of the analysis is based on Newman & Howlett's "Policy Regime Life Cycle Theory", divided into stages 1 to 7, and analyzed the characteristics of housing policy from the 1st stage of gestation to the 7th stage of death or replacement using previous studies. made a nose the results are as follow. First, the housing policy of the Kim Dae-jung government is considered to correspond to the first stage of gestation, the third stage adolescence, the sixth stage old age, and the seventh stage of death/replacement. Second, the housing policy of the Roh Moo-hyun administration corresponds to the 3rd stage of adolescence and the 7th stage, the death/replacement stage. Third, in the case of the Lee Myung-bak administration, the 5th stage of adulthood and the 7th stage of death/replacement fall. Fourth, the characteristics of the Park Geun-hye administration's housing policy correspond to the seventh stage, the death/replacement period. Fifth, on Moon Jae-in administration, it is evaluated that it corresponds to the first stage of gestation, the fifth stage of adulthood, and the seventh stage of death/replacement. As the results of the review show, this is a need to look for a way preventing the arrival of the first stage of the theory, the term of office in advance, as negative public sentiment toward housing policies has increased due to crises such as real estate policies of previous governments. In particular, it is desirable to resolve the housing policy by reflecting the will of the public through public opinion polls, etc., at an early stage before it becomes an issue. In addition, in the case of adolescence, efforts should be made to minimize errors. In the case of housing policies for old age, it is necessary to review in advance whether there are any side effects under the relevant laws. In the case of death/replacement, minimizing damage by preventing the reckless abuse of real estate policies is also a way to prevent the transition to the gestation period, where dissatisfaction is heightened. As a frontier of this study, it is necessity to closely examine the process of deriving a policy by the interaction of the policy actors and the differentiation of the external environment, but it is regrettable that it is omitted and oversimplified.