연평도 포격사건을 계기로 본 남한의 대북정책과 북한의 도발양상의 변화

Abstract

The tensions on the Korean peninsula is mounting as a result of North Korea's deadly attack near Baeknyeong island in the WestSea on the South Korean patrolship Cheonan in March 26.2010 and the bombardment to a private citizen's place of residence atYeonphyeong Island on November 23, 2010. Cheonan ship incident reminds our people and three neighbors(S. Korea, Japan, China) that North Korea can also impederegional cooperation by causing security problems. President Lee Myung-bak proclaimed officially and internationally that the sinking incident of Cheonan ship is the provocation of North Korea to attack on South Korea on May 24. 2010. North Korea has committed continuous attempts of the military provocation and maneuver to break South Korea without hesitation.An unexpected and periodical repetition of provocation is not only to grasp an alert of korean combat unit but also to check an ability ofrisk management, including the counter measures, rationality and agility of the high-level military policy making process. On the other hand, the provocation of North Korea has a tactical intention on the national psychological level and terrorism to South Korea. If North Korea abandon or cease the violent struggle, they know to weaken the hostility to South Korea, also is to raise the level of provocation and maneuver in order to get over the difficulties of a violent revolution.