본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

정부의 금융지출이 자본축적 경로에 미치는 효과

A Post-Keynesian Analysis of the Effects of Government Financial Expenditure on Capital Accumulation

0

조회

0

다운로드

3

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경제학

초록

본 연구의 거시동학모형은 전통적인 포스트 케인지언 성장 분배모형에 기업부채라는 금융변수를 고려함으로써 기업부채와 자본축적 간의동학적 관계를 구축하고 있다. 이 거시동학모형에 기초하여 본 연구는우리나라의 자료를 이용하여 정부의 금융지출이 자본축적에 미치는 효과를 실증 분석하고, 1997/98년 외환위기를 전후하여 축적 레짐의 전환이 발생하였는지를 실증 분석하였다. 실증 분석 결과, 금융시장 안정화를 위한 정부의 금융지출은 자본축적 경로에 긍정적으로 영향을 미쳤음을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구의 실증 분석 결과는 금융(경제)위기가 발발할경우 정부의 적극적인 금융시장 개입을 지지한다. 한편, 본 연구는1997/98년 외환위기 전후 축적 레짐에 변화가 발생하였을 것으로 추측할수 있는 상당한 근거를 발견하였다.

Abstract

This analysis suggests a post Keynesian macro-dynamic model that integrates a financial variable, firm’s debt, into the post Keynesian model of growth and distribution. On the basis of it, this study analyzes the effects of government financial expenditure on capital accumulation empirically. It also studies empirically whether a regime shift has arisen since Asian financial crisis in 1997. This paper shows that government financial expenditure has exerted an positive effect on capital accumulation. This empirical result supports government intervention in financial market in recurrence of financial crises. This study also finds grounds for a change in accumulation regime since Asian financial crisis in 1997.

참고문헌 (50)

  1. 고민창, "정부의 통화정책과 케임브리지방정식", 사회경제평론, (30), pp.359~383 (2008), 한국사회경제학회
  2. 朴炯秀, "경제위기 및 공적자금 투입의 거시경제적 효과", 한국경제의 분석, 8(3), pp.189~253 (2002), 한국경제의 분석패널
  3. 배영목, "금융위기와 금융구조조정의 국가별 비교·분석", 경제발전연구, 13(2), pp.137~173 (2007), 한국경제발전학회
  4. 안국신, "금융구조조정과 공적자금", 금융연구, 14(1), pp.153~190 (2000), 한국금융연구원
  5. 이상헌, "Kaldor 類型의 巨視動學模型: 企業負債와 資本蓄積의 動態的 相互作用關係를 中心으로", 경제학연구, 58(2), pp.37~64 (2010), 한국경제학회
  6. 이종화, "외환위기 이후의 거시경제변수의 조정과정: 국가간 자료를 이용한 분석", 경제학연구, 49(2), pp.227~253 (2001), 한국경제학회
  7. 이창용, "외환위기 10년: 재정정책의 역할과 과제", 경제학연구, 55(4), pp.313~340 (2007), 한국경제학회
  8. 전영준, "공적자금의 재정부담 귀착에 대한 연구:세대간 회계를 이용한 접근", 국제경제연구, 9(3), pp.127~162 (2003), 한국국제경제학회
  9. 전주성, "금융구조조정의 재정수지효과", 한국경제의 분석, 6(1), pp.173~201 (2000), 한국금융연구원
  10. 表鶴吉, "한국의 산업별? 자산별 자본스톡추계(1953~2000)", 한국경제의 분석, 9(1), pp.203~274 (2003), 한국경제의 분석패널
  11. 홍태희, "한국경제에서 성장과 분배:바두리·마글린 모형을 중심으로", 질서경제저널, 12(3), pp.43~61 (2009), 한국질서경제학회
  12. Amadeo, E. J., "The role of capacity utilization in long-period analysis", Political Economy, 2, pp.147~160 (1986)
  13. Bhaduri, A., "On the dynamics of profit-led and wage-led growth", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 32, pp.147~160 (2008)
  14. Bhaduri, A., "Unemployment and the real wage: the economic basis for contesting political ideologies", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 14, pp.375~393 (1990)
  15. Bowles, S., "Wages, aggregate demand, and employment in an open economy: an empirical investigation, In Macroeconomic Policy after the Conservative Era" (1995), Cambridge University Press
  16. Charles, S., "Corporate debt, variable retention rate and the appearance of financial fragility", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 32, pp.781~795 (2008)
  17. Commendatore, P., "The influence of different forms of government spending on distribution and growth", Metroeconomica, 62, pp.1~23 (2011)
  18. Del Negro, M, "The great escape? A quantitative evaluation of the Fed’s non-standard policies", European Summer Symposium in International Macroeconomics (2010)
  19. Dutt, A., "Stagnation, income distribution and monopoly power", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 8, pp.25~40 (1984)
  20. Ederer, S., "Wages and aggregate demand: an empirical investigation for France, In Money, Distribution and Economic Policy - Alternatives to Orthodox Macroeconomics" (2007), Edward Elgar
  21. Fazzari, S., "Cash flow, investment, and Keynes-Minsky cycles", Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 65, pp.555~572 (2008)
  22. Godley, W., "Money and credit in a Keynesian model of income distribution", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 23, pp.393~411 (1999)
  23. Gordon, D., "Growth, distribution, and the rules of the game: social structuralist macro foundations for a democratic economic policy, In Macroeconomic Policy after the Conservative Era" (1995), Cambridge University Press
  24. Hein, E., "Interest, debt and capital accumulation - a Kaleckian approach", International Review of Applied Economics, 20, pp.337~352 (2006)
  25. Hein, E., "Interest rate, debt, distribution and capital accumulation in a post-Kaleckian model", Metreoeconomica, 58, pp.310~339 (2007)
  26. Hein, E., "Regimes of interest rates, income shares, savings and investment: a Kaleckian model and empirical estimations for some advanced OECD economies", Metroeconomica, 54, pp.404~433 (2003)
  27. Hein, E, "Distribution, aggregate demand and productivity growth: theory and empirical results for six OECD countries based on a post-Kaleckian model", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 34, pp.727~754 (2010)
  28. Hein, E., "Distribution and growth reconsidered: empirical results for six OECD countries", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 32, pp.479~511 (2008)
  29. Kalecki, M, "Theory of Economic Dynamics" (1954), George Allen
  30. Kurz, H. D., "Technical change, growth and distribution: a steady-state approach to unsteady growth, In Capital, Distribution and Effective Demand - Studies in the Classical Approach to Economic Theory" (1990), Polity Press
  31. Lavoie, M., "The Kaleckian model of growth and distribution and its neo-Ricardian and neo-Marxian critiques", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 19, pp.789~818 (1995)
  32. Lavoie, M., "Interest rates in Post-Keynesian models of growth and distribution", Metroeconomica, 46, pp.146~177 (1995)
  33. Lavoie, M, "Kaleckian models of growth in a coherent stock-flow monetary framework: a Kaldorian view", Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 24, pp.271~311 (2001)
  34. Lee, S., "A macrodynamic model of growth, finances and government debts", Korean Association for Political Economy 2011 International Conference (2011)
  35. Lima, G., "Macrodynamics of debt regimes, financial instability and growth", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 31, pp.563~580 (2007)
  36. Meirelles, A., "Debt, financial fragility and economic growth: a Post Keynesian macromodel", Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 29, pp.93~115 (2006)
  37. Minsky, H. P., "John Maynard Keynes" (1975), Columbia University Press
  38. Naastepad, C. W. M., "OECD demand regimes(1960-2000)", Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 29, pp.211~246 (2000)
  39. Ndikumana, L., "Debt service, financing constraints, and fixed investment: evidence from panel data", Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 21, pp.455~478 (1999)
  40. Palley, T., "Financial institutions and the Cambridge theory of distribution", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 26, pp.275~277 (2002)
  41. Panico, C., "The government sector in the post-Keynesian theory of growth and personal distribution, In Value, Distribution and Capital" (1999), Routledge
  42. 박만섭, "The financial system and the Pasinetti theorem", CAMB J ECON, 30, pp.201~217
  43. Rowthorn, B., "Demand, real wages and economic growth", Thames Papers in Political Economy, (Autumn), pp.1~39 (1981)
  44. Fiscal Policy for the Crisis, "Spilimbergo, A.", IMF, ~ (2008)
  45. Steedman, I., "The state and the outcome of the Pasinetti process", Economic Journal, 82, pp.1387~1395 (1972)
  46. Steindl, J., "Maturity and Stagnation in American Capitalism" (1952), Basil Blackwell
  47. Stockhammer, E., "Accumulation, distribution and employment: a structural VAR approach to a post-Keynesian macro model", Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 15, pp.421~447 (2004)
  48. Stockhammer, E., "Functional income distribution and aggregate demand in the Euro area", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33, pp.139~159 (2009)
  49. Taylor, L., "A stagnationist model of economic growth", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 9, pp.383~403 (1985)
  50. You, J. I., "Macroeconomic structure, endogenous technical change, and growth", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 18, pp.213~233 (1994)

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (6건)