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조정게임 실험에 관한 최근 연구

A Survey of Experiments on Coordination Games

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초록

본 논문은 지난 이십 년간 급속하게 발전한 조정게임 이론과 그 실험에 대하여 개관하고 향후의 새로운 전개에 대하여 조망한다. 특히 Van Huyck, Battalio, and Beil과 Cooper, DeJong, Forsythe, and Ross들이 시행한 일련의 조정게임 실험의 결과를 중심으로 조정실패의 문제는 어떻게 발생하는지, 그리고 이를 개선하는 방법들은 얼마나 효과가 있는지를 살펴본다. 아울러 실험 결과를 체계적으로 설명하는 이론적 시도로서 진화게임이론적 접근과 게임학습이론적 접근을 살펴본다. 또한 이후에 계속된 다른 조정게임에 대한 실험들도 고찰한다.

Abstract

This paper provides a literature review of experiments on coordination games. In particular, we focus on two strands of papers on coordination game experiments: One group was done by Van Huyck, Battalio and Beil and the other by Cooper, DeJong, Forsythe and Ross. Coordination failures were observed in both experiments. We explore effectiveness of two kinds of institutions, preplay communication and forward induction, which were used to overcome the coordination problem in the experimental setting. Some theoretical works which tried to explain the experimental data are also reviewed. They were based on evolutionary game theory and the theory of learning in games.

참고문헌 (26)

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  3. Broseta, B, "Adaptive Learning and Equilibrium Selection in Experimental Coordination Games:An ARCH(1) Approach", 32, pp.25~50 (2000)
  4. Cachon, G, "Loss Avoidance and Forward Induction in Experimental Coordination Games", (111), pp.165~194 (1996)
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  11. Cooper, "“Coordinating Coordination Failures in Keynesian Models ” Quarterly Journal of Economics", pp.441~463 (1988)
  12. Crawford, "“An Evolutionary Interpretation of Van Huyck and Beil’s Experimental Results on Coordination", pp.25~59 (1991)
  13. "Adaptive Dynamics in Coordination Games", 63, pp.103~145 (1995)
  14. B. Broseta, "What Price Coordination Auctioning the Right to Play as a Form of Preplay Communication", 88 (1998)
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  16. Selten, "A General Theory of Equilibrium Selection in Games The MIT Press" (1988)
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  19. Maynard Smith, "Evolution and the Theory of Games" (1982), Cambridge University Press
  20. Roth, A, "Learning in Extensive-Form Games:Experimental Data and Simple Dynamic Models in the Intermediate Term", 8, pp.164~211 (1995)
  21. Schelling, "The Strategy of Conflict" (1960), Harvard University Press
  22. Schotter, A, "Talking to Ourselves:Coordination in Intergenerational Minimum Games with Private, Almost Common and Common Knowledge of Advice" (2004), New York University
  23. "Equilibrium Selection and Coordination Failure in Average Opinion Games ” Quarterly Journal of Economics", pp.885~910 (1991)
  24. Game Form Auctions, "“Asset Markets as an Equilibrium Selection Mechanism", pp.485~504 (1993)
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  26. Van Huyck, J, "Evidence on Learning in Coordination Games" (2001), Texas A&M University

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