North Korea Stressed: Life on the Hamster Wheel
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In the past decade, Kim Jong Il succeeded in achieving his foremost goal his regime survived, augmented its power capabilities, and is taken seriously by the international community. From the viewpoint of a traditional Korean frog that sees the world only from the bottom of a deep well (“umuranui kkaegurri”), North Korea’s position today may look much stronger both at home and abroad. Pyongyang has few incentives to cooperate or improve relations with the United States because the second Bush Administration is expected to continue to act as the “American empire of evil,” pursuing a “hostile” policy aimed at overthrowing the North Korean regime. The DPRK government publicly shifted its stance from a policy of “strategic ambiguity” to a policy of “strategic clarity” with respect to the country’s possession of nuclear weapons in order to cope with the perceived “threat of a US preemptive nuclear strike.” Kim Jong Il’s regime will never give up its newly obtained nuclear credentials and agree to “CVID” or “do a Kaddafi” with respect to its elusive nuclear weapons programs. Pyongyang may have decided to turn the clock back to the pre-1991 situation in its relations with the United States, by refraining indefinitely from any substantive contacts with Washington, whipping up anti-American sentiment, and concentrating on enhancing its security through economic restructuring and mobilization of internal military deterrent capabilities, as well as improvement of bilateral relations with its traditional allies and new partners in the region.
Abstract
In the past decade, Kim Jong Il succeeded in achieving his foremost goal his regime survived, augmented its power capabilities, and is taken seriously by the international community. From the viewpoint of a traditional Korean frog that sees the world only from the bottom of a deep well (“umuranui kkaegurri”), North Korea’s position today may look much stronger both at home and abroad. Pyongyang has few incentives to cooperate or improve relations with the United States because the second Bush Administration is expected to continue to act as the “American empire of evil,” pursuing a “hostile” policy aimed at overthrowing the North Korean regime. The DPRK government publicly shifted its stance from a policy of “strategic ambiguity” to a policy of “strategic clarity” with respect to the country’s possession of nuclear weapons in order to cope with the perceived “threat of a US preemptive nuclear strike.” Kim Jong Il’s regime will never give up its newly obtained nuclear credentials and agree to “CVID” or “do a Kaddafi” with respect to its elusive nuclear weapons programs. Pyongyang may have decided to turn the clock back to the pre-1991 situation in its relations with the United States, by refraining indefinitely from any substantive contacts with Washington, whipping up anti-American sentiment, and concentrating on enhancing its security through economic restructuring and mobilization of internal military deterrent capabilities, as well as improvement of bilateral relations with its traditional allies and new partners in the region.