拜登时期美国对华 “竞争性共存”的闭环认知—以重设危机管控机制的必要性和初始步骤为中心—
US’ Closed-loop Cognition of “Competitive Coexistence” with China in the Biden Era:Necessity and Initial Steps of Re-establishing a CrisisManagement Mechanism
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本文以拜登政府自成立以来的对华政策为基础，确定了当前美国对华认 知的根本原因是维护美国利益，而竞争性共存为其主要特点。通过分析这种认知的 内容、背景、动机和行动，得出美国对华政策的战略目标和具体措施，以及所带来 的潜在风险。面对当前不稳定的双边关系和落后的现行危机管控机制，为了规避竞 争带来的争端和冲突，在美国对华竞争共存的过程中，就需要一个与时俱进的危机 管控机制为两国间的各种行为设置界限，使竞争能够在明确和规范的范围内展开。 竞争共存是一个闭环逻辑: 它从维护美国的利益出发，根据现实情况，制定目标和 措施，在规避风险的同时，实现有条件的竞争共存，使美国能够通过控制对华竞争 的范围和强度，摸清中国的战略底线、获得准备战略竞争的时间、从而维护美国的 利益。
Abstract
Based on the Biden administration’s China policy since its inception, this paper concludes that the primary goal of the current US perception of China is to protect US interests, with competitive coexistence as the key element. It determines the strategic objectives and particular actions of US’ China policy, as well as any potential hazards, by examining the content, context, motivations, and behaviors of this perspective. To prevent disputes and conflicts that arise from rivalry in the process of US competitive coexistence with China, it is necessary to re-establish an up-to-date crisis management mechanism that installs boundaries for the varied interactions between the two powers. Due to the unstable bilateral relationship and backwardness of the current mechanism, this will enable the rivalry to be conducted within a defined and standardized framework. Competitive coexistence is a type of closed-loop logic that begins with protecting US interests, formulates objectives and measures based on realities, implements conditional competitive coexistence while avoiding risks, and enables the US to safeguard its interests by controlling the scope and intensity of its rivalry with China, as well as by determining China's strategic bottom line and obtaining time to prepare for strategic rivalry.
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