핵협상과 북핵문제: 이란, 파키스탄, 인도사례와의 비교

Abstract

This thesis aims at analyzing the issues and suggesting the future policy directions on the North Korean nuclear issues through comparing and analyzing other international nuclear negotiation cases. U. S. has specified the “tailored nuclear policies” depending on the negotiation counterparts under the goal of nuclear nonproliferation and showed various approaches according to the nuclear development motives and the strategic values of the opponents. In the cases of nuclear development motives, security is a vital interest, and economic benefits are easer to provide than political guarantee, therefore, the security model is the most difficult to adopt and the economic model is easier to reach the agreement. However, North Korea makes the negotiations difficult with its considering the security of system as that of the regime and the mixed three negotiation models in the case, and especially, the outstanding security model among them. In the case of strategic values, each country had improved its strategic values and led the negotiation positively. For example, Iran was provided the financial benefits such as petroleum resources and so forth, then, Pakistan was supported to decrease the cost which was made by the threats from non-state actors, and India was supplemented with the political and military advantages to respond the rise of China. Meanwhile, North Korea has strengthened the negotiating power through the military pressure such as nuclear tests and missile launchings. From now on, to lead North Korea to abandon its nuclear at the negotiating table, the North Korean methods to enhance its strategic values utilizing the geopolitical factors of North East Asia should be noticed. South Korea should properly combine and utilize the available resources in the relation of U. S., Japan and Russia and reduce the motives of being a nuclear power through restoring the mutual trust between South and North Korea, and accordingly, perform the active mediator between U. S. and North Korea through the phased approaches to dismantle the North Korean nuclear.