북한·인도·파키스탄의 핵무장 정책 동인을 통해 본 북한의 핵보유국 지위 가능성
The possibility of North Korea as statue of a nuclear state through North Korea, India and Pakistani nuclear weapon policy motives
0
조회
0
다운로드
1
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
By focusing on Democratic People’s Republic of Korea(DPRK) nuclear program which is reached to the completion, and its similarity to India and Pakistan’s, this study examines changes of nuclear policy in two countries(India Pakistan), relationship between USA and those countries and an agent for decision makings. By comparing DPRK with India and Pakistan, this study aims to verify if DPRK would be considered as a nuclear nation from the United States. Under Kim Jong un regime, DPRK has been trying to be accepted as a nuclear nation accelerating and institutionalizing its nuclear capability. However, by observing its behavior, it would not be easy for DPRK to gain a position of nuclear nation. A strategic value for world strategy for U.S is an essential prerequisite of getting a position of nuclear nation looking at the instances of India and Pakistan. However DPRK presumes that the main aim and purpose of its nuclear armament is a deterrent threat from U.S. But for U.S, DPRK does not fulfilling a requirements for getting a position of nuclear nations, and It would also cause a ‘Nuclear Domino effect’ in Northeast Asia which is a zone with instability. Therefore by looking at the case of DPRK comparing cases of India and Pakistan, the chance for DPRK to gain a position of nuclear weapons state status from the United States is considered to be quite low.
Abstract
By focusing on Democratic People’s Republic of Korea(DPRK) nuclear program which is reached to the completion, and its similarity to India and Pakistan’s, this study examines changes of nuclear policy in two countries(India Pakistan), relationship between USA and those countries and an agent for decision makings. By comparing DPRK with India and Pakistan, this study aims to verify if DPRK would be considered as a nuclear nation from the United States. Under Kim Jong un regime, DPRK has been trying to be accepted as a nuclear nation accelerating and institutionalizing its nuclear capability. However, by observing its behavior, it would not be easy for DPRK to gain a position of nuclear nation. A strategic value for world strategy for U.S is an essential prerequisite of getting a position of nuclear nation looking at the instances of India and Pakistan. However DPRK presumes that the main aim and purpose of its nuclear armament is a deterrent threat from U.S. But for U.S, DPRK does not fulfilling a requirements for getting a position of nuclear nations, and It would also cause a ‘Nuclear Domino effect’ in Northeast Asia which is a zone with instability. Therefore by looking at the case of DPRK comparing cases of India and Pakistan, the chance for DPRK to gain a position of nuclear weapons state status from the United States is considered to be quite low.
참고문헌 (53)
- 고경희, "인도의 외교정책과 국제관계" (2003), 인간사랑
- 김관봉, "NPT체제와 북한의 핵 : 수평적 핵확산에 대한 국제적 대응", 안보학술논집, 5(2) (1994)
- 김계동, "북한의 외교정책과 대외관계" (2012), 명인문화사
- 김보미, "김정은 정권의 핵무력 고도화의 원인과 한계: 북한의 수직적 핵확산과 정권안보", 국방정책연구, 33(2), pp.35~64 (2017), 한국국방연구원[DOI]
- 김주환, "전략문화 관점에서 본 ‘북한·파키스탄’의 핵개발 동인-북한 핵능력 고도화에 주는 함의-", 한국국제정치학회 60주년기념하계학술회의 발표집 (2016)
- 김준석, "북핵문제와한반도 평화정착" (2008), 도서출판 한울
- 라윤도, "핵보유선언 이후 인도-파키스탄의 갈등해소 노력 고찰", 남아시아연구, 15(3), pp.189~222 (2010), 인도연구소[DOI]
- 라윤도, "파키스탄의 핵개발과 핵확산 연구 - A. Q. Khan의 역할을 중심으로 -", 남아시아연구, 20(2), pp.91~130 (2014), 인도연구소[DOI]
- 박일, "북핵진단과 대응" (2016), 아산정책연구원
- 박형중, "김정은 정권의 핵 및 대남 정책 방향 진단", 전략연구, 21(63), pp.141~170 (2014), (사) 한국전략문제연구소
- 제3세계 국가들의 핵정책 사례 연구: 인도-파키스탄 및브라질-아르한티나 사례를 중심으로, "이상환", ~, pp.<국방정책연구보고서>, 04-05 (2004)
- 이헌경, "북한의 핵무장 목적과 대미 전략적 목표", 세계지역연구논총, 26(3), pp.129~153 (2008), 한국세계지역학회
- 정성임, "핵협상과 북핵문제: 이란, 파키스탄, 인도사례와의 비교", 통일연구, 19(1), pp.154~187 (2015), 통일연구원[DOI]
- 정영태, "파키스탄·인도·북한의 핵정책" (2003), 통일연구원
- 조남훈, "대외학술활동시리즈 2018-83" (2018), 한국국방연구원
- 최재혁, "파키스탄과 북한의 핵개발에 관한 연구 : 핵개발 결정요인과 그의 비교를 중심으로", 석사, 군사전략, pp.2004
- 함택영, "국가안보의 정치경제학: 남북한의 경제력·국가역량·군사력" (1988), 법문사
- 황지환, "핵포기 모델의 재검토: 남아프리카공화국, 우크라이나, 리비아 사례를 통해 본 북핵 포기의 가능성과 한계", 세계지역연구논총, 30(3), pp.225~251 (2012), 한국세계지역학회
- Alexan der Platkovskiy, "북한핵프로그램" (2000), 사군자
- Nataly a Bazhanovav, "북한핵프로그램" (2000), 사군자
- William C. Potter, "핵개발과 핵확산금지정책" (1983), 국방대학교대학원
- Andre w S. Nations, "The Great North Korean Famine" (2001), United States Institute of Peace Press
- Bhumi tra Chakma, "Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons" (2009), Routledge
- Bruce Comings, "North Korea: Another Country" (2003), W. W. Norton
- George Perkovich, "India’s Nuclear Bomb: The Impact on Global Proliferation" (1999), University of California Press
- Hamm Taik-young, "Arming the Two koreas: State, Capital and Military Power" (1999), Routledge
- Hasan Askari Rizvi, "Military , State and Society in Pakistan" (2000), St. Martin's Press
- Intern ational Institute for Strategic Studies, "The Military Balance 1981-1982" (1981), The International Institute for Strategic Studies
- Jonathan D. Pollack, "No Exit : North Korea, Nuclear Weapons, and International Security" (2011), Routledge
- John J. Mearsheimer, "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" (2001), W. W. Norton
- John W. Garver, "The Restoration of Sino-Indian Comity following India's Nuclear Tests", The China Quarterly, (168) (2001)
- Kenneth N. Waltz, "Man, the State, and War" (1959), Columbia University Press
- Keith Hartley, "The Economics of Defence Spending: An International Survey" (1990), Routledge
- Mitchell Reiss, "Without the Bomb: The Politics of Nuclear Nonproliferation" (1988), Columbia University Press
- Pervez Hoodbhoy, "The Nuclear Turning Point" (1999), Brookings Institution Press
- Peter J. Hayes, "Pacific Powder keg, American Nuclear Dilemmas in Korea" (1991), Lexington Books
- Samina Ahmed, "Pakistan’s Nuclear Program: Turning Points and Nuclear Choices", International Security, 23(4) (1999)
- Scott Sagan, "Why do states Build nuclear Weapons: Three Models in Search of A Bomb", International Security, 21(3) (1996)
- Siegfried S. Hecker, "Dangerous Dealings: North Korea’s Nuclear Capabilities and the Threat of Export to Iran", Arms Control Today, 37(2) (2007)
- Stephen M. Meyer, "The Dynamics of Nuclear Proliferation" (1984), University of Chicago Press
- T. V. Paul, "Nuclear India in the Twenty-First Century" (2002), Palgrave Macmillan
- William C. Potter, "The Diffusion of Military Technology and Ideas" (2003), Stanford University Press
- 김재천, "후계자 문제의 이론과 실천" (1989)
- 북한 외무성, "남조선에 유도탄 기지 설치와 관련", ~ (1958)
- 북한 외무성, "미국이 압력을 가중시킨다면 선전포고로 간주한다", ~ (2006)
- 북한 외무성, "유엔 안보리가 더 이상의 도발을 해오는 경우 그에 대처한 北의 더 이상의 자위적 조치가 불가피해질 것임", ~ (2009)
- "<조선 민주주의인민공화국 외무성 담화>, 유엔안전보장리사회 《결의》 비난", ~ (2013)
- "조선민주주의인민공화국 사회주의 헌법, 서문", ~ (2012)
- "로동신문", ~
- "조선중앙통신", ~
- "조선중앙TV", ~
- "中, 인 접한 20여國과 영토갈등… 舊蘇와는 核사용 직전까지", 문화일보, ~ (2017)
- "김일성 ‘소련은 믿을 수 없고 중국은 믿지 않는다’", 연합뉴스, ~ (2016)