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THE CONCLUSION OF THE U.S.-IRAN NUCLEAR NEGOTIATIONS AND THE NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR ISSUE

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This paper compares the U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations with the North Korea nuclear talks, focusing on the North’s motivation for nuclear development, the negotiation processes, the negotiation methods, and other influential factors and draws implications from the U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations for the North Korean nuclear negotiations. North Korea’s motive for possessing nuclear weapons is closer to a security model’s, and its negotiation means is more direct and provocative. The economic factor has no specific effect in the North Korean nuclear negotiations due to the characteristic of the North’s economic system, the selective sanctions of the international community, and the passive attitude of China. Also, due to the rise of China and the fact of North Korea-China relations, the United States faces difficulties in considering the North Korean issues together with the Chinese variables in the negotiations. To resolve the North Korean nuclear negotiations in the future, the interests of countries participating in the six-party talks needs to be considered to increase negotiating pressure on the North. In addition, judging from North Korea’s economic system and economic policies, the economic incentives and sanctions must be appropriately employed and means to increase effectiveness devised. Also, changes in North Korea-U.S. relations must put South Korea at the center and be aimed at transforming North Korea. Finally, changes in North Korea since the suspension of the six-party talks must be taken into account, and the negotiation strategy toward North Korea must be readdressed.

Abstract

This paper compares the U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations with the North Korea nuclear talks, focusing on the North’s motivation for nuclear development, the negotiation processes, the negotiation methods, and other influential factors and draws implications from the U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations for the North Korean nuclear negotiations. North Korea’s motive for possessing nuclear weapons is closer to a security model’s, and its negotiation means is more direct and provocative. The economic factor has no specific effect in the North Korean nuclear negotiations due to the characteristic of the North’s economic system, the selective sanctions of the international community, and the passive attitude of China. Also, due to the rise of China and the fact of North Korea-China relations, the United States faces difficulties in considering the North Korean issues together with the Chinese variables in the negotiations. To resolve the North Korean nuclear negotiations in the future, the interests of countries participating in the six-party talks needs to be considered to increase negotiating pressure on the North. In addition, judging from North Korea’s economic system and economic policies, the economic incentives and sanctions must be appropriately employed and means to increase effectiveness devised. Also, changes in North Korea-U.S. relations must put South Korea at the center and be aimed at transforming North Korea. Finally, changes in North Korea since the suspension of the six-party talks must be taken into account, and the negotiation strategy toward North Korea must be readdressed.

참고문헌 (14)

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