복잡계 이론을 통한 북한의 시장화 가능성 연구

Abstract

In this year, North Korea showed a great change in attitude. As a result, the international community was very interested in an economic reformation and opening of North Korea. In particular, the most important issue was the possibility of North Korea’s marketization and economic transformation. However, it is difficult to analyze the marketization of North Korea by existing transition theories because it is related to various actors and environment factors. In order to overcome the limitation, this study analyzes the possibility of North Korea’s marketization through complexity theory and suggests implications. To do this, this paper analyzed the cases of transition countries such as Eastern Europe and Vietnam and examined the phenomenon of North Korea’s marketization. This paper ultimately aims at predicting the possibility that the marketization of North Korea will evolve into the process of self organization. Although this paper does not discuss the possibility of the North Korean regime change through numerical values, it regards it as meaningful to presents a complex analysis framework for North Korea’s marketization.