북한체제시장화와 불가역적 체제변화 가능성 분석

Abstract

This paper is focused on analyzing the marketization of the North Korean, which, in my opinion, will possibly lead to irreversible social and political change in North Korea ultimately. Although the economy system of North Korea shows the characteristics of the socialism, it is found that the early capitalism has undergone considerably in North Korea. The economy of North Korea is run by the state and the market pulling and pushing each other, building its own uniqueness- the dual economy system. Despite the worse macroeconomic indicators of the planned economy, the real economy of North Korea shows its dynamics and the domestic economy operates in its own circular structure. In fact, the forces that lead its domestic economy are private economic agents. In this process, the role of economy agents(economic agents) continues to grow consisently. Not a few economy agents who may intervene and determine supply and demand process under a corrupted economic structure, such as vertical rent seeking, enjoy a different level of freedom and privileges. The taste of consumption culture has been changed from survival to preference, which is expected to eventually influence the consciousness of people of North Korea. recently, the political power of North Korea also does emphasize the improvement of people’s living conditions. Furthermore, from the economic perspective, the accumulation of wealth and private property caused by the progress of marketization is creating “an independent being” who does not depend on the state to survive. Because of the marketization, the ideological hierarchy of North Korea is expected to be gradually relativized gradually. Contrary to the intention of the North Korea regime, it is not possible to rule out the possibility that its inner control system and ideology will eventually be incapacitated by the de-coding movements within the system. In conclusion, small changes are being detected from the bottom of the North Korean society. It is more important to note that these changes can be extended to social change and bears an irreversible nature simultaneously.