북일 국교정상화 교섭과 북한의 체제전환

Abstract

North Korea and Japan have been negotiating for normalization of diplomatic relations since the 1990s, but they could not reach the normalization of diplomatic relations due to North Korea’s nuclear tests, missile launches and Japanese abductions. However, Japanese Prime Minister, Koizumi, who visited Pyongyang in 2002, announced the “9.17 Pyongyang Joint Declaration” and arrived at principle agreements for normalization of diplomatic relations with North Korea. If North Korea and Japan launch summit meeting, following the South-North Korea summit and the North Korea-U.S. summit, the possibility of successfully reaching normalization of diplomatic relations between North Korea and Japan appears to significantly raise. Following the normalization of diplomatic relations between North Korea and the U.S., if diplomatic relations between North Korea and Japan are normalized, cross-recognition of North Korea will be accomplished. This accomplishment will lead North Korea to set-up a new system to cooperate with South Korea, the U.S. and Japan, instead of taking opposition against South Korea, the U.S. and Japan. The transition of North Korea will naturally take place. This paper focuses on the analysis of negotiations for diplomatic relations, which would be the basis of normalization of relations between North Korea and Japan, while focusing on analysis of Japan’s roles to induce system transition and stabilization of North Korea. To achieve the analysis, past of negotiations for normalization of diplomatic relations between North Korea and Japan, the direction and contents of the normalization between North Korea and Japan, roles of Japan and responses of South Korea are taken into considerations. Due to surrounding environment changes of North Korea, Japan actively seeks for conversation with North Korea, also there are plenty space for Japan to contribute to reaching peace regime within Korean Peninsula. Therefore, with denuclearization of North Korea, South Korea should lead North Korea and Japan to normalize diplomatic relations between two countries.