Containment with Selective Engagement: Biden’s Expected China Policy
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This paper aims at analyzing the Biden administration’s expected foreign policy towards China in comparison with that of both Obama and Trump administrations. Contrary to conventional wisdom that the new US administration’s China policy would be a wholehearted rejection of Trump and a revival of Obama, this paper argues that the new President’s approach to China will be a mix of his two immediate predecessors. While Biden will likely inherit Obama’s foreign policy orientations of multilateralism and internationalism, his approach to China is expected to continue Trump’s containment-oriented congagement strategy. Washington in the Biden presidency is expected to be more contentious to Beijing to contain its military, economic, and technological presence in the world with efforts for selective engagement to prevent unanticipated and unnecessary escalation of conflict in the bilateral rivalry. To this end, the Biden administration would rely on multilateral institutions and alliances to isolate China from the US-centered global value chains and technological networks. Moreover, the US government is expected to consider the US-China economic relationship as the main stage of Biden’s containment against China. As a result, Biden’s China policy would take an eclectic position between that of Obama and Trump, which could be called “containment with selective engagement.”
Abstract
This paper aims at analyzing the Biden administration’s expected foreign policy towards China in comparison with that of both Obama and Trump administrations. Contrary to conventional wisdom that the new US administration’s China policy would be a wholehearted rejection of Trump and a revival of Obama, this paper argues that the new President’s approach to China will be a mix of his two immediate predecessors. While Biden will likely inherit Obama’s foreign policy orientations of multilateralism and internationalism, his approach to China is expected to continue Trump’s containment-oriented congagement strategy. Washington in the Biden presidency is expected to be more contentious to Beijing to contain its military, economic, and technological presence in the world with efforts for selective engagement to prevent unanticipated and unnecessary escalation of conflict in the bilateral rivalry. To this end, the Biden administration would rely on multilateral institutions and alliances to isolate China from the US-centered global value chains and technological networks. Moreover, the US government is expected to consider the US-China economic relationship as the main stage of Biden’s containment against China. As a result, Biden’s China policy would take an eclectic position between that of Obama and Trump, which could be called “containment with selective engagement.”
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