본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

주택 시장 효율성에 관한 연구

A study on the efficiency of the housing market

0

조회

0

다운로드

9

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경제학

초록

In this paper, we examine the residential market reaction to changes in real estate policy in line with the theory of market efficiency in residential real estate market in recent decade. As empirical methodology, we use the Event Study to assess the impact of changes in housing policy. We provide the evidence that there exists an abnormal return after announcement of housing policy and the magnitude of responsiveness varies across the markets segmented, implying the weak form of in market efficiency. We also extend real estate industry into equity market proxied by construction industry where the equity market has shown a form of semi-strong market efficiency. The analysis reveals that the regional variation of response in real estate markets exists against residential market policy. The results suggest that the effective real estate policy consider segmented regional market characteristics.

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the residential market reaction to changes in real estate policy in line with the theory of market efficiency in residential real estate market in recent decade. As empirical methodology, we use the Event Study to assess the impact of changes in housing policy. We provide the evidence that there exists an abnormal return after announcement of housing policy and the magnitude of responsiveness varies across the markets segmented, implying the weak form of in market efficiency. We also extend real estate industry into equity market proxied by construction industry where the equity market has shown a form of semi-strong market efficiency. The analysis reveals that the regional variation of response in real estate markets exists against residential market policy. The results suggest that the effective real estate policy consider segmented regional market characteristics.

참고문헌 (41)

  1. 분양가상한제 폐지에 따른 주택가격 변동에 관한 연구, "권주안", 주택산업연구원, ~, pp.주택산업연구원 2009-정책 (2009)
  2. 김관영, "주택매매시장의 효율성 분석 : 서울 강남지역 공동주택매매시장을 중심으로", 한국개발연구, 10(3), pp.51~63 (1988), 한국개발연구원
  3. 김경환, "부동산 경제학" (2010), 건국대학교출판부
  4. 김무성, "합병 공시에 따른 합병기업 주주 부의 변화", 대한경영학회지 춘계학술대회 발표논문집, pp.49~80 (2012), 대한경영학회
  5. 김승욱, "로지스틱 방정식을 이용한 부동산경기변동과 부동산정책의 분석", 부동산학보, (24), pp.33~59 (2005), 한국부동산학회
  6. 김은미, "한국 주택정책 변화 분석 : 역사적 제도주의 분석", 박사, 행정학과, pp.2012
  7. 김종일, "서울 아파트시장에서의 전세-매매가격 비율과 시장의 효율성", 한국경제의 분석, 4(1), pp.50~107 (1998), 한국금융연구원
  8. 서승환, "분양가 자율화와 주택가격", 주택연구, 2(2), pp.5~26 (1994), 한국주택학회
  9. 유원상, "정부의 부동산 정책과 부동산 투자와의 상관관계-'부동산 및 임대업 총대출금'과 '주택건설 인·허가 실적'을 중심으로-", 부동산학보, (42), pp.284~298 (2010), 한국부동산학회
  10. 유현지, "주택정책이 주택가격 불안정에 미친 영향", 국가정책연구, 22(2), pp.75~114 (2008), 국가정책연구소
  11. 이용만, "주택가격지수의 목적과 방법을 둘러싼 쟁점- 실거래가격에 기초한 지수를 중심으로 -", 부동산학연구, 13(3), pp.147~167 (2007), 한국부동산분석학회
  12. 전광섭, "주택가격 안정정책의 효과에 관한 연구 - 분양가규제정책을 중심으로 -", 부동산학보, (40), pp.254~269 (2010), 한국부동산학회
  13. 정재호, "부동산정책에 대한 부동산시장 반응", 부동산학보, (29), pp.99~110 (2007), 한국부동산학회
  14. 정지만, "부동산시장의 효율성과 공분산비 분석", 금융학회지, 4(2), pp.169~204 (1999), 한국금융학회
  15. 주부식, "회계변경에 따른 시장반응에 관한 연구", 국제회계연구, (21), pp.19~42 (2008), 한국국제회계학회
  16. 최희갑, "주택가격 전망이 주택가격 및 경기에 미치는 영향", 국토연구, 63, pp.141~158 (2009), 국토연구원
  17. 최차순, "부동산정책이 부동산시장에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구", 대한부동산학회지, 28(2), pp.69~91 (2010), 대한부동산학회
  18. Ashley, W, A., "Stock prices and changes in earnings and dividends: some empirical results", Journal of Political Economy, 70(1), pp.82~85 (1962)
  19. Barker, C. A., "Effective Stock Splits", Harvard Business Review, 34(1), pp.101~106 (1956)
  20. Barker, C. A., "Stock Splits in a Bull Market", Harvard Business Review, 35(3), pp.72~79 (1957)
  21. Barker, C. A., "Evaluation of Stock Dividends", Harvard Business Review, 36(4), pp.99~114 (1958)
  22. Barkham, R., "Price Discovery in American and British Property Markets", Real Estate Economics, 23(1), pp.21~44 (1995)
  23. Barkham, R., "Price Discovery and Efficiency in the UK Housing Market", Journal of Housing Economics, 5(1), pp.41~63 (1996)
  24. Clapp, J. M., "The Influence of Economic Variables on Local House Price Dynamics", Journal of Urban Economics, 36(2), pp.161~183 (1994)
  25. Clayton, J., "Further Evidence on Real Estate Market Efficiency", Journal of Real Estate Research, 15(1), pp.41~57 (1998)
  26. Darrat, A. F., "Real Estate Returns, Money and Fiscal Deficits: Is the Real Estate Market Efficient?", Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2(3), pp.197~208 (1989)
  27. Darrat, A. F., "On the Real Estate Market Efficiency", Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 7(1), pp.55~72 (1993)
  28. DiPasquale, D., "Housing Market Dynamics and the Future of Housing Prices", Journal of Urban Economics, 35(1), pp.1~27 (1994)
  29. Evans, R. D., "The Effect of School Desegregation Decisions on Single-Family Housing Prices", Journal of Real Estate Research, 6(2), pp.207~216 (1991)
  30. Fama, E. F., "Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work", The Journal of Finance, 25(2), pp.383~417 (1970)
  31. Fama, E. F., "The Adjustment of stock prices to new information", International Economic Review, 10(1), pp.1~21 (1969)
  32. Goukasian, L., "The Reaction of Real Estate–Related Industries to the Monetary Policy Actions", Real Estate Economics, 38(2), pp.355~398 (2010)
  33. Guntermann, K. L., "Empirical Tests of Real Estate Market Efficiency", Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 4(3), pp.297~313 (1991)
  34. Hamilton, B. W., "Expected Appreciation in Urban Housing Markets", Journal of Urban Economics, 18, pp.103~118 (1985)
  35. Linneman, P., "An Empirical Test of the Efficiency of the Housing Market", Journal of Urban Economics, 20(2), pp.140~154 (1986)
  36. Real Estate Market Efficiency ; A Survey of Literature, "Maier, G.", Real Institute for Spatial and Real Estate Economics, ~ (2010)
  37. McIntosh, W., "Efficiency of the Office Properties Market", Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2(1), pp.61~70 (1989)
  38. Meese, R., "Testing the Present Value Relation for Housing Prices : Should I Leave My House in San Francisco?", Journal of Urban Economics, 35(3), pp.245~266 (1994)
  39. Myers, J. A., "Influence of stock split-ups on market price", Harvard Business Review, 26, pp.251~255 (1948)
  40. Skantz, T. R., "House Prices and a Flood Event : An Empirical Investigation of Market Efficiency", Journal of Real Estate Research, 2(2), pp.75~83 (1987)
  41. Wang, Z., "Dynamics of Urban Residential Property Prices-A Case Study of the Manhattan Market", Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 29(1), pp.99~118 (2004)

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (7건)