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인도경제의 서비스화가 경제성장에 미치는 영향

An Empirical Analysis on the Effect of Service Economy in Indian Economic Growth

조충제
대외경제정책연구원 (Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP))|2008.12|East Asian Economic Review|제12권 제2호|pp. 183-220|DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2008.12.2.192

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참고문헌

키워드

서비스Service서비스화경제성장Economic Growth서비스경제인도경제Indian EconomyService Economy
주제분류경제학

초록

본고에서는 인도경제의 서비스화가 경제성장에 미치는 영향을 실증분석한 결과, GDP생산 대비 서비스업 비중과 인도의 경제성장 간에는 부(-)의 관계가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 상품수출 대비 서비스수출 비중과 경제성장 간의 관계와 개별 서비스 부문의 비중 증가와 경제성장 간의 관계는 불분명하게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 보몰(Baumol 1967)의 가설과 같이 노동력이 생산성이 높은 공업이나 제조업보다 상대적으로 생산성이 낮은 서비스업 부문으로 많이 이전했기 때문일 가능성이 있다. 이것은 인도정부의 보다 강력한 공업화 정책의 필요성을 시사해주는 한편, 인도경제의 특수성에 의해 그 의미가 약해질 가능성 또한 동시에 갖고 있다.

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of service economy in Indian economic growth. In consequence of empirical tests, the enlargement of the service sector in GDP has been a negative effect on the economic growth. However, the enlargement of service sector in trade and sub-service sector in total services has given an unclear effect on the economic growth. The results are induced by much labor movement into services other than manufacturing sectors from agriculture sectors as Baumol's hypothesis(1967). The results suggest that a stronger incentive policy for the manufacturing sector is needed by the Indian government and the possibility of reduction in its significance exists because of the particularities of the Indian economy simultaneously.

참고문헌 (38)

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