본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

핵무기와 국제정치: 역사, 이론, 정책, 그리고 미래

Nuclear Weapons and International Politics: History, Theories, Policies, and the Future

박건영
극동문제연구소 (THE INSTITUTE FOR FAR EASTERN STUDIES)|2011.03|한국과 국제정치 (Korea and World Politics)|제27권 제1호|pp. 1-45|DOI 10.17331/kwp.2011.27.1.001

0

조회

0

다운로드

10

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

상호확증파괴핵확산금지조약미사일방어체계포괄적 핵실험금지조약Strategic Defense Initiative(SDI)전략방위계획핵무기 없는 세상Mutual Assured Destruction(MAD)Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty(NPT)Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty(CTBT)Missile Defense(MD)World Without Nuclear Weapons
주제분류정치외교학

초록

본 논문의 목적은 핵무기의 출현과 변화가 국제정치에 미친 영향을 분석하고 미래를 전망하는 데 있다. 필자는 이 글에서 핵무기의 국제정치적 현실을 현장감 있게 분석하고, 버락 오바마 미국 대통령이 만들고자 하는 국제정치의 미래에 대한 객관적 전망을 제시하기 위해 핵무기의 국제정치학과 관련한 역사, 이론, 정책에 대해 살펴본다. 결과적으로, 필자는 “핵무기 없는 세상”을 만드는 과정에서 오바마 비전은 내외적으로 강력하고 집요한 저항에 직면하게 될 것이고, 만일 그러한 꿈이 실현된다고 해도 오바마가 원하고 기대하던 세상이 아닐 수 있음을 지적한다. 또한 미국과 국제사회가 군사적 노력뿐 아니라 비군사적 노력을 기민하고 분별력 있게 지속할 때만, 비로소 인류가 그러한 꿈에 가까이 다가갈 수 있을 것이라 제시한다.

Abstract

This article seeks to analyze the impact that the evolution of the nuclear weapons has had on the international politics. It reviews the history, theories, and policies involving the international politics of nuclear weapons to pave the way for a sound analysis and prediction on the current and future international relations that the United States under Barack Obama is trying to “make of.” The article indicates that the Obama's vision is and will be faced with formidable internal and external obstacles in its way to the “world without nuclear weapons” and that even the “dream-come-true” may not what the initiators had wished and expected. It concludes that only the serious and prudent non-military (as well as military) efforts led by the United States and international society could make the future of international politics look close to the “dream.”

참고문헌 (59)

  1. 김기협, "망국의 역사, 조선을 읽다" (2010), 돌베개
  2. 박건영, "한반도의 국제정치: 평화와 통일을 위한 새로운 접근" (1999), 오름
  3. 박건영, "오바마와 북한" (2009), 풀빛
  4. Allison, Graham, "Nuclear Disorder: Surveying Atomic Threats", ForeignAffairs, 89(1), pp.74~85 (2010)
  5. Allison, Graham, "How Significant a New START for the U.S. and Russia?", TheWashington Post (2010)
  6. Alperovitz, Gar, "Atomic Diplomacy: Hiroshima and Potsdam" (1985), Penguin
  7. Alperovitz, Gar, "The Decision to Use the Atomic Bomb: And the Architecture ofan American Myth" (1995), Knopf
  8. "Senate Rejects Comprehensive Test BanTreaty: Clinton Vows to Continue Moratorium" (1999)[URL]
  9. Bernstein, Barton J, "The Atomic Bombings Reconsidered", ForeignAffairs, 74(1), pp.135~152 (1995)
  10. Blackett, P. M. S, "Studies of War: Nuclear and Conventional" (1962), Oliver & Boyd
  11. Brodie, Bernard, "Nuclear Weapons: Strategic or Tactical?", Foreign Affairs, 32(2), pp.217~229 (1954)
  12. Brodie, Bernard, "Strategy in the Missile Age" (1959), Princeton University Press
  13. Butler, Lee, "Abolition of Nuclear Weapons Speech by General Lee Butlerat National Press Club" (1996), Washington, D.C.
  14. Buzzard, Anthony W, "Massive Retaliation and Graduated Deterrence", World Politics, 8(2), pp.228~237 (1956)
  15. "Hiroshima and Nagasaki Death Toll" (2007)[URL]
  17. "Giuliani: An ‘Inept’ President’s ‘Left-Wing Dream’" (2010)[URL]
  18. Dulles, John F, "The Evolution of Foreign Policy", Department of StateBulletin, 30, pp.107~110 (1954)
  19. Fallows, James, "National Defense" (1981), Vintage Books
  20. "Status of World Nuclear Forces" (2011)[URL]
  21. Fravel, M. Taylor, "China’s Search for Assured Retaliation:The Evolution of Chinese Nuclear Strategy and Force Structure", International Security, 35(2), pp.48~87 (2010)
  22. "Clinton, Pentagon RevealState Secret: Size of U.S. Nuclear Arsenal" (2010)[URL]
  23. Gaddis, John Lewis, "Containment and the Logic of Strategy", TheNational Interest, 10(Winter), pp.27~38 (1987)
  24. Gaddis, John Lewis, "The Long Peace: Inquiries Into the History of the Cold War" (1989), Oxford University Press
  25. United States Strategic BombingSurvey: Summary Report(Pacific War), "GPO(U.S. Government Printing Office)", GPO, ~ (1946)
  26. GPO(U.S. Government Printing Office), "Public Law 106-38, 106th Congress", GPO, ~ (1999)
  27. "Obama’s Troubling Nuclear Policies" (2010)[URL]
  28. Huntington, Samuel P, "The Lonely Superpower", Foreign Affairs, 78(2), pp.35~49 (1999)
  29. "Treaty Critics Can’t Explain Away Military Support forNew START" (2010)[URL]
  30. Joffe, Josef, "Less Than Zero: Bursting the New DisarmamentBubble", Foreign Affairs, 90(1), pp.2~9 (2011)
  31. Kennedy, John F, "Congressional Record", ~ (1960)
  32. Kissinger, Henry A, "Nuclear Weapons and Foreign Policy" (1957), Harper & Brothers
  33. "Obama Agrees to Keep Israel’s Nukes Secret" (2009)[URL]
  34. wLockwood, Jonathan Samuel, "The Soviet View of U.S. Strategic Doctrine:Implications for Decision Making" (1985), National StrategyInformation Center, Inc
  35. "Obama Limits U.S. Policy for Nuclear Weapons" (2010)[URL]
  36. "Joint Statement on New START" (2010)[URL]
  37. Ballistic and CruiseMissile Threat, "NASIC(National Air and Space Intelligence Center)", NASIC, ~, pp.NASIC-1031-0985-06 (2006)
  38. Nitze, Paul H, "Atoms, Strategy and Policy", Foreign Affairs, 34(2), pp.187~198 (1956)
  39. "Remarks by President Barack Obama, Hradcany Square,Prague, Czech Republic" (2009)[URL]
  40. Peterson, Scott, "NPT 101: Is Iran Violating the Nuclear Treaty?", The ChristianScience Monitor (2010)
  41. Ross, Robert S, "The Geography of the Peace: East Asia in the Twenty-firstCentury", International Security, 23(4), pp.81~118 (1999)
  42. Schelling, Thomas C, "Nuclear Strategy in Europe", World Politics, 14(3), pp.421~432 (1962)
  43. Schelling, Thomas C, "A World Wihout Nuclear Weapons?", Daedalus, 138(4), pp.124~129 (2009)
  44. Schultz, George P., "AWorld Free of Nuclear Weapons", The Wall Street Journal (2007)
  45. Schultz, George P., "Toward a Nuclear-Free World", The Wall Street Journal (2008)
  46. Shen, Dingli, "Sino-US Relations and Alliance Structures in Northeast Asia", The Korean Association of International Studies 2009 International Conference (2010)
  47. Taylor, Maxwell D, "The Uncertain Trumpet" (1960), Harper & Brothers
  48. "U.S. Policy on Nuclear Testing and a ComprehensiveTest Ban (PDD/NSC 11)" (1993)[URL]
  49. "Nuclear Posture Review Implementation (PDD/NSC-30)" (1994)[URL]
  50. The White House, "Remarks by the President on National Missile Defense", ~ (2000)
  51. Advisory Opinion of theInternational Court of Justice on the Legality of the Threat or Use ofNuclear Weapons, "UNGA(United Nations General Assembly)", ~, pp.Resolution No. A (1996), 51[DOI]
  52. "Moscow Treaty" (2003)[URL]
  53. Waltz, Kenneth, "The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: More May Better", Adelphi Papers, (171) (1981)
  54. Ward, Michael D, "A Theory of Behavioral Power ofNations", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 32(1), pp.3~36 (1988)
  55. Wohlstetter, Albert, "The Delicate Balance of Terror", Foreign Affairs, 37(2), pp.211~234 (1959)
  56. Yu, Rong, "Nuclear No-First-Use Revisited", ChinaSecurity, 5(1), pp.81~90 (2009)
  57. Zuckerman, Mortimer B, "Debate: A Second American Century", ForeignAffairs, 77(3), pp.18~31 (1998)
  58. "ABM Treaty Suit Dismissed" (2002)[URL]
  59. Deutsche Presse-Agentur, "China Calls for World without Nuclear Weapons", ~ (2009)

관련 논문AI추천

핵비확산의 국제정치학과 정책대안최아진국가안보전략연구원 · 국가안보와 전략2012 · 제12권 제1호미국 오바마 행정부의 핵안보 정책과 국제사회 핵안보 공약의 결정요인정구연한국사회역사학회 · 담론2012016 · 제19권 제4호핵 확산의 국제정치:북핵 문제에 대한 함의김영재국제지역연구원 · 아태연구2013 · 제20권 제2호핵비확산체제의 지속가능성: 구조적 한계와 극복방안을 중심으로이종선민주주의와 자치 연구소 · 비교민주주의연구2011 · 제7권 제2호북핵문제에 대한 정치철학적 접근: 평화적 해결원칙을 도출하기 위하여최형익한국사회연구소 · 한국사회2014 · 제15권 제1호핵연구 관점에서 본 북핵과 비핵화김성철통일평화연구원 · 통일과 평화2019 · 제11권 제1호

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (7건)

핵확산의 추세 vs. 비확산의 방책조동준pp. 47-81핵폐기 사례연구: 남아프리카공화국 사례의 함의와 한계한인택pp. 83-108북핵문제와 동북아 6자회담의 지정학: 역사적 성찰과 전망김명섭pp. 109-141북한의 핵협상: 주장, 행동, 패턴김근식pp. 143-181북핵협상 20년의 평가와 교훈전봉근pp. 183-212
원문 보기