본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

핵비확산의 국제정치학과 정책대안

International Politics of Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Policy Alternatives

최아진
국가안보전략연구원 (Institute for National Security Strategy)|2012.03|국가안보와 전략 (National Security and Strategy)|제12권 제1호|pp. 1-31|DOI 10.23111/nsas.2012.12.1.001

0

조회

0

다운로드

2

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

국제협력국제레짐핵확산International Cooperation핵비확산Nuclear Proliferation정책대안International Regime국제체제의 안정Nuclear Non-ProliferationInternational StabilityPolicy Alternative
주제분류정치외교학

초록

세계적으로 핵비확산이 중요한 이슈가 되고 이에 대한 연구도 활발하게 이루어지고 있는 반면, 국내에서는 세계적 차원에서 핵비확산을 주제로 다루는 연구가 상대적으로 부족하다. 본 연구는 핵비확산에 대한 최근의 주요 연구 동향을 소개하고 정책적 함의를 살펴보는 것을 목적으로 하며, 이 과정을 통해서 핵비확산에 있어서의 핵심적인 문제에 대한 이해를 높이고 동시에 효과적인 정책대안을 개발하는데 기여하고자 한다. 이를 위해서 첫째, 역사적으로 핵무기의 역할과 관련한 새로운 연구결과를 소개하고 핵비확산 정책에 대한 의미를 살펴본다. 둘째, 핵확산이 국제체제의 안정과 국가전략에 미치는 영향에 대한 이론과 정책적 함의를 살펴본다. 셋째, 핵확산의 경로 및 핵비확산의 조건과 정책대안들을 소개한다. 넷째, 핵비확산을 위한 새로운 도전과 과제로서 핵테러리즘 방지와 “핵무기 없는 세계”에 대한 평가를 제시한다. 마지막으로 위에서 살펴본 연구결과와 정책적 함의를 요약하면서 한국의 핵정책의 방향을 포함하여 연구결과와 정책개발 사이의 긴밀한 관계의 중요성을 강조하고 이를 발전시키기 위한 대안을 논의한다.

Abstract

Nuclear non-proliferation has become more important in global affairs, yet this topic remains understudied as a global issue in Korea. This study reviews recent research on nuclear non-proliferation and presents their policy implications. Through this process it pursues a better understanding of the core issue of nuclear non-proliferation and to develop relevant policy. First this study introduces new research findings on the use of nuclear weapons and discusses their implication for nuclear non-proliferation policy. Second, it explores the debate on the impacts of nuclear proliferation on international stability and national strategy and their relevance with policy alternatives. Third, it examines research on the causes of nuclear proliferation and the conditions for nuclear non-proliferation and evaluates their policy alternatives. Fourth, it identifies nuclear terrorism and the world without nuclear weapons as a new challenge and task in promoting nuclear non-proliferation. Finally, it presents the summary of key points of each section and the direction of future research and policy.

참고문헌 (45)

  1. Allison, Graham, "Nuclear Terrorism：The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe", pp.2004, Times Books
  2. Bunn, Matthew, "Securing the Bomb" (2008), Project on Managing the Atom, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University
  3. Carter, Ashton B., "Soviet Nuclear Fission：Control of the Nuclear Arsenal in a Disintegrating Soviet Union" (1991), Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University
  4. Hyamans, Jacques, "The Psychology of Nuclear Proliferation：Identity, Emotions, and Foreign Policy" (2006), Cambridge University Press
  5. Sagan, Scott, "The Spread of Nuclear Weapons：A Debate" (1995), W. W. Norton & Company
  6. Alperovitz, Gar, "Hiroshima：Historians Reassess", Foreign Policy, 99(Summer), pp.15~34 (1995)
  7. Alperovitz, Gar, "Correspondence： Marshall, Truman, and the Decision to Drop the Bomb", International Security, 16(3), pp.204~211 (1991)
  8. Beardsley, Kyle, "Winning with the Bomb", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53(2), pp.278~301 (2009)
  9. Bernstein, Barton, "The Atomic Bombings Reconsidered", Foreign Affairs, 74(1), pp.135~152 (1995)
  10. Bracken, Paul, "Nuclear Weapons and State Survival in North Korea", Survival, 35(3), pp.137~153 (1993)
  11. Curtis, Charles B., "Curbing the Demand for Mass Destruction", Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 607, pp.27~32 (2009)
  12. Evera, Stephen Van, "Primed for Peace：Europe after the Cold War", International Security, 15(3), pp.7~57 (1990)
  13. Feaver, Peter, "Proliferation Optimism and Theories of Nuclear Operations", Security Studies, 2(3-4), pp.159~191 (1993)
  14. Fuhrmann, Matthew, "Spreading Temptation：Proliferation and Peaceful Nuclear Cooperation Agreements", International Security, 34(1), pp.7~41 (2009)
  15. Fuhrmann, Matthew, "Taking a Walk on the Supply Side：The Determinants of Civilian Nuclear Cooperation", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53(2), pp.181~208 (2009)
  16. Ganguly, Sumit, "Nuclear Stability in South Asia", International Security, 33(2), pp.45~70 (2008)
  17. Gartzke, Erik, "Bargaining, Nuclear Proliferation, and Interstate Disputes", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53(2), pp.209~233 (2009)
  18. Gartzke, Erik, "A Strategic Approach to Nuclear Proliferation", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53(2), pp.151~160 (2009)
  19. Horowitz, Michael, "The Spread of Nuclear Weapons and International Conflict： Does Experience Matter?", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53(2), pp.234~257 (2009)
  20. Jenkins, Bonnie, "Combating Nuclear Terrorism：Addressing Nonstate Actor Motivation", Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 607, pp.33~42 (2009)
  21. Jervis, Robert, "The Political Effects of Nuclear Weapons：A Comment", International Security, 13(2), pp.80~90 (1988)
  22. Jo, Dong-Joon, "Determinants of Nuclear Weapons Proliferation：A Quantitative Model", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 51(1), pp.167~194 (2007)
  23. Kapur, Paul, "Ten Years of Instability in a Nuclear South Asia", International Security, 33(2), pp.71~94 (2008)
  24. Kroeing, Matthew, "Importing the Bomb：Sensitive Nuclear Assistance and Nuclear Proliferation", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53(2), pp.161~180 (2009)
  25. Levite, Ariel E., "Never Say Never Again：Nuclear Reversal Revisited", International Security, 27(3), pp.59~88 (2002)
  26. Liberman, Peter, "The Rise and Fall of the South African Bomb", International Security, 26(2), pp.45~86 (2001)
  27. Lieber, Keir A., "The Nuke We Need", Foreign Affairs, 88(6), pp.39~51 (2009)
  28. Mearsheimer, John J., "Back to the Future：Instability in Europe After the Cold War", International Security, 15(1), pp.5~56 (1990)
  29. Mearsheimer, John J., "The Case for a Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent", Foreign Affairs, 72(3), pp.50~66 (1993)
  30. Miller, Steven E., "The Case Against a Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent", Foreign Affairs, 72(3), pp.67~80 (1993)
  31. Miller, Steven E., "Nuclear Power without Nuclear Proliferation?", Doedalus, 134(8), pp.7~18 (2009)
  32. Montgomery, Alexander, "The Perils of Predicting Proliferation", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53(2), pp.302~328 (2009)
  33. Muller, John, "The Essential Irrelevance of Nuclear Weapons：Stability in the Postwar World", International Security, 13(2), pp.55~79 (1988)
  34. Rauchhaus, Robert, "Evaluating the Nuclear Peace Hypothesis：A Quantitative Approach", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53(2), pp.258~277 (2009)
  35. Sagan, Scott, "Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons? Three Models in Search of a Bomb", International Security, 21(3), pp.54~86 (1996)
  36. Schelling, Thomas C., "A World Without Nuclear Weapon?", Doedalus, 134(8), pp.124~129 (2009)
  37. Solingen, Etel, "The Political Economy of Nuclear Restraint", International Security, 19(2), pp.126~169 (1994)
  38. Tannenwald, Nina, "Stigmatizing the Bomb：Origins of the Nuclear Taboo", International Security, 29(4), pp.5~49 (2005)
  39. Wilson, Ward, "The Winning Weapon? Rethinking Nuclear Weapons in Light of Hiroshima", International Security, 31(4), pp.162~179 (2007)
  40. Zenko, Micah, "Intelligence Estimates of Nuclear Terrorism", Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 607, pp.87~102 (2009)
  41. Schultz, George P., "A World Free of Nuclear Weapons", The Wall Street Journal (2007)
  42. Schultz, George P., "Toward a Nuclear-Free World", The Wall Street Journal (2008)
  43. Schultz, George P., "How to Protect Our Nuclear Deterrent", The Wall Street Journal (2010)
  44. "버락 오바마 대통령 연설문" (2009)[URL]
  45. "IAEA 노벨상 수상연설"[URL]

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (4건)

오바마 행정부의 새 국방전략 평가 : 긴축재정하의 ‘선택과 집중’이동준pp. 33-64신국제질서의 태동에 대한 미국의 인식과 전략조성렬pp. 67-103북한의 서해상 도발리스크에 대한 체계적 관리모델의 개발 : 인디케이터 분석모델의 적용을 중심으로김재호, 김용호, 손효종pp. 105-138지지율로 본 조지 W. 부시 대통령의 임기가상준pp. 139-167
원문 보기