최저임금 변화가 노동시장에 미치는 영향: 매칭모형을 이용한 정량분석
Minimum Wages and Labor Market Outcomes: A Quantitative Study Using a Search-Matching Model
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초록
최저임금과 노동생산성의 사전적·사후적 이질성을 도입한 매칭모형을 구축하고 최저임금 상승이 노동시장에 미치는 효과를 정량분석한다. 최저임금이 상승할 때 생산성 수준이 낮은 근로자들은 고용관계를 지속하기 어렵기 때문에 고용이 감소한다. 최저임금 상승으로 인한 기업의 기대이윤 감소는 신규채용의 감소로 이어져 구직확률이 하락한다. 최저임금 상승에 따른 노동시장 변화는 생산성 수준이 낮은 근로자들에게서 가장 크게 나타난다.
Abstract
I construct a search and matching model in which workers are ex ante and ex post heterogeneous. In particular, I incorporate minimum wages into the model and quantitatively examine the impacts of the increases in minimum wages on the labor market. As minimum wages increase, employment falls because the employment relationships for low skilled workers are more likely to terminate. An increase in minimum wages leads to a fall in the expected profits for the matched firms and thus a fall in the number of vacancies posted in equilibrium. A fall in the job-finding probability follows. Finally, most of the increased minimum wage impacts are concentrated on low skilled workers.
참고문헌 (18)
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