예비군 자원감소에 대비한 한국 예비전력정책에 대한 연구

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to proposes the development direction of the Reserve Forces Policy of the Korea in order to prepare for the rapid decline of reserve forces resources in the future. Changes in the future security environment affecting the Reserve Forces field were analyzed by applying STEPPER variables, and the P(population field) variables were judged to have the greatest influence. As a result of determining the size of an adequate reserve forces(105.3 million people) using the approach to mobilizing troops, it was confirmed that the available resources of the reserve forces(94.4 million people) in 2040 will be limited, and plans were proposed to overcome this. First, the standards applied to the determination of the size of the reserve forces, such as the loss rate and the duration of the war, and the mobilization stage, were reset. Second, the organization of the reserve forces and the adjustment of the annual service period were proposed in conjunction with the size of an adequate reserve forces. Third, the issue of population decline in addition to the develop reserve forces system of recruiting character that is actively discussed to propose the need and plan to expand for a peacetime service program for reserve forces. Due to the nature of the study, there is a limit to clearly presenting specific figures or calculation processes, but if the proposed development plan is reviewed and systematically promoted, it is judged that it will be able to more actively prepare for the changing security environment. In the follow-up study, it is expected to increase the completeness of the establishment and execution of reserve power policies by comprehensively studying the fields of reserve forces training, weapons and equipment, compensation and welfare that were not covered in this study.