FDI·ODA·TRADE가 신남방국가의 경제발전에 미치는 영향
The Impact of FDI·ODA·TRADE on the New Southern Countrie′s Economic Growth
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본 연구는 최근 이슈가 되고 있는 신남방국가들이 현재까지 이루고 있는 경제성장에 대해 다음 요소인 FDI·ODA·TRADE 선정하여 지난 27년간 경제발전에 미치는 영향을 조사하여 분석하였다. 본 연구 방법은 FDI · ODA · TRADE 변수를 통하여 Augmented Dickey-Fuller 단위근 검정 및 Johansen 공적분 검정 추정결과는 벡터오차수정모형을 사용하여 신남방 국가의 경제 성장에 어떤 영향을 미치는지 분석하였다. 1990년~2017년까지 자료를 이용하여 실증 분석한 결과 다음과 같이 결과가 도출되었는데, ODA보다는 FDI가 경제성장에 지대한 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었으며, 무역이 FDI보다 경제성장에 더 큰 영향을 준 것으로 확인되었다. 이러한 실증분석 결과를 통해 ODA보다 외국인직접투자 및 수출입이 신남방 국가 성장에 지대한 영향을 준 것으로 확인되며, 무역·투자 증진을 위한 제도적 기반을 강화하여, 신기술 및 신기업의 진출 지원이 경제협력 기반을 구축하는데 중요하다는 시사점을 도출할 수 있다.
Abstract
This researching paper investigates how FDI·ODA·TRADE affect economic growth in New Southern countries over the last 27 years and FDI, ODA, Trade have a impact on the New Southern countries economic growth using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Johansen co-integration test and Vector Error Correction Model. The results of empirical analysis based on data from 1990 to 2017 confirmed that FDI and Trade than ODA has had a significant impact on New Southern countries economic growth. As a result of this empirical analysis, we can see that Singapore and Brunei information among the 11 southern countries have excluded on ODA and excluded it from empirical analysis. Having identified the significant impact on the country's growth, the institutional foundation for promoting trade and investment can be strengthened, suggesting that the support of new technologies and entry of new companies are important in establishing the basis for economic cooperation.
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