한러 천연가스 교역 증진을 위한북동항로 운송 경제성 분석
Economic Analysis of the Northern Sea Route for the Import of Russian Liquefied Natural Gas
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초록
본 논문은 러시아 생산된 액화천연가스를 운송하는 경로로서 북동항로 활용 가능성을 연구한다. 특히, 러시아 액화천연가스 수출에 핵심적인 역할을 수행하는 야말지역에서 대한민국으로 액화천연가스를 운송하는 시나리오를 중심으로 분석한다. 연구결과 사베타항에서 선적된 천연가스를 북동항로를 통해 국내로 도입하는 것은 수에즈항로와 비교할 때 현저한 운송거리 감소가 가능하며, 이로 인한 시간과 비용 절감이라는 측면에서 수에즈항로를 통한 운송에 비해 경쟁력을 지니고 있음을 확인했다. 또한 사베타항의 지리적 위치를 감안할 때, 러시아산 액화천연가스 운송은 다른 화물운송에 비해 비용절감효과가 크게 나타났다. 기후변화에 따른 북극해 해빙 감소는 북동항로의 운항조건을 개선시켜 항로의 경제성을 더욱 강화시킬 수 있을 것이다.
Abstract
This study aims to analyze the possibility of using the Arctic Sea Route as a path for transporting liquefied natural gas (LNG) produced in Russia. In particular, the analysis focuses on the scenario of transporting liquefied natural gas from the Yamal region to Korea. According to the results of analysis, importing natural gas from the port of Sabetta to the port of Samcheok through the Northern Sea Route (NSR) can drastically reduce the sailing distance compared to transportation through the Suez Sea Route, thereby reducing time and cost. Given the geographical location of the port of Sabetta, it was found that transporting Russian LNG provides significant cost savings compared to transporting other cargoes. In addition, the decrease in sea ice in the Arctic Ocean due to climate change will improve the operating conditions of the NSR and further strengthen the economic feasibility of the NSR.
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