러시아 민주주의의 퇴행 극복 가능성에 대한 일고찰
A Study on The Possibility of Overcoming Democratic Regression in Russia
0
조회
0
다운로드
5
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Discussion on 'crisis of Russian democracy' which has remained controversial from the establishment of Putin government in 2000 until nowadays has converged into the agreement that Russian democracy has not made a progress but rather went backward or remained stagnant at best. Having stated Putin's victory to be certain, this paper has analysed and made prospect on Russian's democracy under Putin's 3rd term from democratic consolidation perspective. As a result there has been a significant change in political perception and value attitude of Russian public and elite groups. From the public level, a rising discontent with the current governing powers and perceptional change in non-competitive political system were most outstanding. From the elite level, an internal division of governing elite groups was marked as a significant change following differing views with regard to political reformation after the dispute over national development line which was provoked by 2008 global economic crisis. Also, attitudinal change of elite groups was confirmed by the reports made by Russian think tanks in great importance. By analysing Putin's 3rd term power structure, a clue for the prospect of Russian democracy in attitudinal and behavioral level could be found. Institutional effect, in terms of an alleviation of power concentration phenomenon and actor's attitudinal change in democracy, was expected with the rising possibility for diarchy to last. Rather, it is expected that directivity of 'improvement' and 'deepening' in Russian democracy shown from Medvedev's transitional government will persist in next government. For the time being the question at issue in Russian democratic consolidation will be 'degree' and 'depth' in terms of 'improvement' and 'deepening'.
Abstract
Discussion on 'crisis of Russian democracy' which has remained controversial from the establishment of Putin government in 2000 until nowadays has converged into the agreement that Russian democracy has not made a progress but rather went backward or remained stagnant at best. Having stated Putin's victory to be certain, this paper has analysed and made prospect on Russian's democracy under Putin's 3rd term from democratic consolidation perspective. As a result there has been a significant change in political perception and value attitude of Russian public and elite groups. From the public level, a rising discontent with the current governing powers and perceptional change in non-competitive political system were most outstanding. From the elite level, an internal division of governing elite groups was marked as a significant change following differing views with regard to political reformation after the dispute over national development line which was provoked by 2008 global economic crisis. Also, attitudinal change of elite groups was confirmed by the reports made by Russian think tanks in great importance. By analysing Putin's 3rd term power structure, a clue for the prospect of Russian democracy in attitudinal and behavioral level could be found. Institutional effect, in terms of an alleviation of power concentration phenomenon and actor's attitudinal change in democracy, was expected with the rising possibility for diarchy to last. Rather, it is expected that directivity of 'improvement' and 'deepening' in Russian democracy shown from Medvedev's transitional government will persist in next government. For the time being the question at issue in Russian democratic consolidation will be 'degree' and 'depth' in terms of 'improvement' and 'deepening'.
참고문헌 (44)
- 강봉구, "“최소민주주의로부터 헌정적 자유로: 러시아 민주화의 장기적 경로?”", 국제정치논총, 46(2), pp.239~260 (2006), 한국국제정치학회
- 강봉구, "푸틴주의 정치 리더십의 권위주의적 특성과 전망", 국제지역연구, 14(2), pp.3~30 (2010), 국제지역연구센터
- 러시아의 현대화 추진 동향 및 함의, "고재남", 외교안보연구원, ~, pp.요국제문제분석 2010-29 (2010)
- 박기덕, "한국 민주주의의 이론과 실제" (2005), 한울 아카데미
- 박인휘, "정책지식 네트워크의 세계정치: 외교안보 싱크탱크의 사례", 세계정치, 29, pp.1~ (2008), 서울대학교 국제문제연구소
- 엄구호, "이원집정부제 러시아 정부의 불안저엉에 관한 연규: 정부교체(government change)에 관한 실증분석", 국제정치논총, 46(3), pp.234~257 (2006), 한국국제정치학회
- 우준모, "러시아 대통령제의 발전과정과 전망", 국제지역연구, 13(3), pp.243~266 (2009), 국제지역연구센터
- 유진숙, "러시아 민주주의 공고화와 정치과정", 중소연구, 34(1), pp.207~231 (2010), 아태지역연구센터
- 이종문, "푸틴시대 러시아 국가자본주의의 형성과 발전: 국가경제발전모델의 관점에서", 한국과 국제정치, 26(1), pp.69~105 (2010), 극동문제연구소
- 장세호, "한국 민주주의 공고화와 대통령제 개선 논의: 러시아 사례의 시사점을 중심으로", 한국동북아논총, 16(3), pp.153~175 (2011), 한국동북아학회
- 장세호, "푸틴의 복귀와 러시아 권력구조 변동: 양두체제의 종식인가,‘역( ) 양두체제의 시작인가", Russia & Russian Federation, 2, pp.4~ (2011), 한국외대 러시아연구소
- 지병근, "민주주의 이행: 민주화이론의 한국적 수용", 한국국제정치학회 건국 60주년 기념 공동학술회의 라운드테이블, 기획서패널 (2008), 한국국제정치학회
- "Политический кризис в России ивозможные механизмы его развития" (2011)[URL]
- "Движущиесилы и перспективы политической трансформации России" (2011)[URL]
- "Разочарование: Президентское Послание неоправдало ожиданий" (2010)[URL]
- "Протестные электоральные стратегии" (2011)[URL]
- "О смене политических предпочтений Россиян" (2011)[URL]
- "Пошли за Путиным" (2011)[URL]
- "Партия Путина ответила Медведеву" (2010)[URL]
- "Премьер за стабильность – но и за демократию" (2011)[URL]
- "ОБРЕТЕНИЕ БУДУЩЕГО: СТРАТЕГИЯ 2012" (2011)[URL]
- "Кремлевский тотализатор: Глава государства заставляет странугадать по поводу будущих выборов" (2011)[URL]
- "Неутешительный успех" (2011)[URL]
- "2012 против 2020: Президент Дмитрий Медведев получилпредвыборную программу – в противовес «Стратегии-2020»" (2011)[URL]
- "Пресс-выпуски Левада-центр" (2011)[URL]
- "Пресс-выпуски Левада-центр" (2011)[URL]
- Aron, L, "Putinism, In Russian Outlook" (2008), American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research
- Diamond, L, "Developing Democracy: Toward Consolidation" (1999), Johns Hopkins University Press
- Dunlop, J. B, "Shifting through the Rubble of the Yeltsin Years", Problems of Post-Communism, (47, pp.1) (2000), ~
- Fedorv, Y., "Democratization and Globalization: The Case of Russia 2000", Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, (13) (2000)
- Fish, M, "The Pitfalls of Russian Superpresidentialism", Current History, (96, pp.612) (1997), ~
- Hassner, P, "Russia's Transition to Autocracy", Journal of Democracy, (19) (2008)
- Kubicek, P, "Delegative Democracy in Russia and Ukraine", Communist and Post-Communist Studies, (27, pp.4) (1944), ~
- Linz, J., "Toward Consolidated Democracies", Journal of Democracy, (7, pp.2) (1996), ~
- Linz, J., "Toward Consolidated Democracy, In The Global Divergence of Democracies" (2001), Johns Hopkins University Press
- McFaul, M., "The Fourth Wave of Democracy and Dictatorship: Noncooperative Transitions in the Post-communist World", World Politics, (54) (2002)
- Pasquino, G., "Democratic Consolidation: Between Institutional Engineering and International Support", West European Politics, (25, pp.4) (2002), ~
- Petrov, N, "From Managed Democracy to Sovereign Democracy Putin's Regime Evolution in 2005", PONARS Policy Memo 396, ~ (2005)
- Petrov, N, "The Full Cycle of Political Evolution in Russia From Chaotic to Overmanaged Democracy", PONARS Policy Memo 413, ~ (2006)
- Schedler, A, "What is Democratic Consolidation, In The Global Divergence of Democracies" (2001), Johns Hopkins University Press
- Shevtsova, L, "Ersatz Democracy", Current History, (105) (2006)
- Surkov, V, "Commentaries on the Discussion of "Paragraphs pro Sovereign Democracy", Russian Studies in Philosophy, (4) (2009)
- Valenzuela, J. S, "Democratic Consolidation in Post-Transitional Setting: Notion, Process, and Facilitating Condition, In Issues in Democratic Consolidation: The New South American Democracies in Comparative Perspective" (1992), University of Notre Dame Press
- Zakaria, F., "The Future of Freedom: Illiberal Democracy at Home and Abroad" (2004), Norton & Company