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South Korean Preparedness for the North Korean Nuclear Threat: A Few Steps Behind

박휘락
한국국방연구원 (Korea Institute for Defense Analyses)|2017.06|The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis|제29권 제2호|pp. 231-251|DOI 10.22883/kjda.2017.29.2.004

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키워드

North KoreaSouth Koreanuclear weaponpreemptive strikeballistic missile defensenuclear preparedness

초록

This paper reviews the current state of South Korean nuclear preparedness and draws out some necessary tasks for the future. It reviews all available options that a non-nuclear, threatened country should take in response to the level of the nuclear threat. These are a diplomatic approach, a preventive strike, deterrence, defense, civil defense, and negotiations. In conclusion, South Korea has depended too much on diplomatic solutions in the initial periods of the North Korean nuclear weapons development. It did not review defense measures in depth and did not consider the preventive strike option during that period. South Korea procrastinated on its Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) construction and did not review the necessity of nuclear civil defense until the present. South Korean nuclear preparedness appears to have many shortcomings. South Korea should expedite and improve its BMD shield as soon as possible. It may need to utilize the preemptive strike capabilities of the United States to provide more money for its BMD. It needs to prepare nuclear blast and/or fall-out shelters by efficiently renovating existing conventional shelters and other underground facilities.

Abstract

This paper reviews the current state of South Korean nuclear preparedness and draws out some necessary tasks for the future. It reviews all available options that a non-nuclear, threatened country should take in response to the level of the nuclear threat. These are a diplomatic approach, a preventive strike, deterrence, defense, civil defense, and negotiations. In conclusion, South Korea has depended too much on diplomatic solutions in the initial periods of the North Korean nuclear weapons development. It did not review defense measures in depth and did not consider the preventive strike option during that period. South Korea procrastinated on its Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) construction and did not review the necessity of nuclear civil defense until the present. South Korean nuclear preparedness appears to have many shortcomings. South Korea should expedite and improve its BMD shield as soon as possible. It may need to utilize the preemptive strike capabilities of the United States to provide more money for its BMD. It needs to prepare nuclear blast and/or fall-out shelters by efficiently renovating existing conventional shelters and other underground facilities.

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관련 논문AI추천

Time to Balance Deterrence, Offense, and Defense? Rethinking South Korea’s Strategy against the North Korean Nuclear Threat김병기, 박휘락한국국방연구원 · The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis2012 · 제24권 제4호The U.S.-ROK Alliance in Coping with North Korea’s Nuclear Threat권은덕한국국방연구원 · The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis2014 · 제26권 제4호ROK-U.S. Cooperation in Preparation for Hostile Actions by North Korea in Possession of Nuclear WeaponsPark Chang Kwoun한국국방연구원 · The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis2010 · 제22권 제4호한국의 북핵정책 분석과 과제: 위협과 대응의 일치성을 중심으로박휘락국가정책연구소 · 국가정책연구2015 · 제29권 제1호Neither Realistic nor Effective: The Fallacy of U.S. Nuke Redeployment in Korea김재엽한국국방연구원 · The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis2015 · 제27권 제4호일반적 핵대응 포트폴리오에 의한 한국의 북핵 대응사례 평가박휘락동아시아국제정치학회 · 국제정치연구2018 · 제21권 제1호

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