운전자 속성과 처벌경험이 교통법규 준수기간에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

Abstract

A scientific analysis on the behaviors of drivers who have violated traffic laws is one ofthe essential elements to secure the traffic safety since most traffic crashes result from thetraffic violations. This paper aims to analyze the influences of individual driver’scharacteristics on the abidance duration of traffic laws using the Cox proportional hazardsmodel. To this end, the data on traffic law violations of the drivers who have newlyacquired their drivers during the recent five years were collected. Then, two abidanceduration models of traffic laws were estimated based on overall drivers and habituallyviolated drivers, respectively. The result from the former model shows that male, teenagerand fifties, first class special (trailer, wreck car) and motorbike license are more hazardousto violate the traffic law. The latter model, which was based on the data from habituallyviolated drivers, included the cumulative number of punishment and the cumulativenumber of license cancellation as the independent variables with regular offender cases. Asa result, the current the cancellation of license corrects the violating behavior while thelevel of punishment fails to correct the habitually violated drivers. The findings and resultsfrom this paper show the traffic violations should be more certainly and severely punishedand a variety of types of punishment, such as incentives, educational services, and penaltymanagement, should be introduced.