아세안 2016: 아세안 방식의 변화 또는 연속성
ASEAN in 2016: The Change and Continuity in the ASEAN Way
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2017년 창설 50주년을 맞은 아세안에 대한 기대와 우려가 공존한다. 아세안공동체(ASEAN Community)가 2015년 말 공식 출범한 이후 비전 실현에 대한 기대와 급변하는 역내외 환경에서의 효율적 대처 가능성에 대한 우려가 있다. 이 글은 변화와 연속성을 중심으로 2016년 아세안공동체 추진 현황과 대외관계를 고찰하고자한다. 첫째, 지역적 차원에서 아세안공동체로의 제도화과정과 기능적 협력 현황을 살피고자한다. 최근 아세안 회원국의 국내정치변동이 아세안방식의 수정에 대한 압력으로 대두될 가능성을 지적하고자한다. 둘째, 아세안 대외관계의 특징으로 변화보다는 연속성에 주목할 것이다. 아세안 대외관계의 양태는 전형적인 갈등회피적 양상과 현상유지적 성격을 그대로 유지하고 개발 협력 의제에 집중했다. 이러한 입장은 아세안의 단결(unity)에 긍정적인 기여를 하고 있으며 아세안 엘리트들이 공통적으로 추구하는 목표인 지역 회복력(regional resilience)을 추구함에 있어 유용함을 주장하고자 한다.
Abstract
ASEAN marking its 50th anniversary in 2017 draws hopes and concerns. There is hope for the full realization of the vision of ASEAN Community since 2015 while there are increasing concerns about the changing internal and external environments. This article reviews the process of ASEAN’s community building and its external relations. First, after reviewing institutionalization and functional cooperation in 2016, it argues that there is increasing pressure for the modification of the ‘ASEAN Way’ mainly due to the recent political changes in some ASEAN member states. Second, this article considers the nature of ASEAN’s external relation focusing on continuity rather than change. The tendency of external relations of ASEAN appears to be ‘avoiding conflict’ and ‘status quo’ while it concentrates on development cooperation. We argue that such attitude contributes to the unity of ASEAN as it is useful in searching for regional resilience which is a common goal of ASEAN power elites.
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