아세안 2019: 어수선한 주변 환경, 꾸준한 통합 추진
ASEAN 2019: A Steady March Towards Integration in Turbulent Environment
0
조회
0
다운로드
4
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
2019년의 아세안은 돌아보면 어수선한 주변 환경 속에서 조용한 통합 추진이라는 상반된 이미지로 요약된다. 비교적 안정적이었던 개별 국가 정세와 달리 아세안을 둘러싼 전략적 환경, 국제 관계 환경은 미-중 전략 경쟁으로 인해 매우 어수선했고, 아세안은 이런 환경에 나름 대응하고자 했으나 쉬운 과제는 아니었다. 경제 통합에서는 의장국 태국 주도로 4찬 산업 혁명 등에 대비한 아세안 차원의 공동 노력이 제시되었다. 사회문화 분야에서는 노령화, 아동 문제 등에서 의미 있는 아세안 차원의 대응들이 있었다. 한-아세안 관계에서 한국 정부는 신남방정책을 어려운 대내외 조건 속에서도 꾸준히 추진했고, 11월 제 3차 한-아세안특별정상회의를 성공적으로 개최해 아세안 국가들에게 한-아세안 관계 강화를 위한 한국의 의지를 확인 시켰다. 2019년을 뒤로 하고 2020년에는 베트남이 의장국을 맡는다. 특히 미중 경쟁 속 전략과 남중국해 문제와 관련 2020년 의장국 베트남의 행보에 크게 시선이 쏠리고 있다.
Abstract
Looking back, ASEAN in 2019, can be best described by a quiet push for integration in the challenging external environment. while domestic politics of individual countries were rather stable, the strategic environment surrounding ASEAN has never been stable, which is best seen in the strategic competition between the United States and China. It was not easy for ASEAN to navigate in such a turbulent circumstance. The ASEAN Chair country in 2019, Thailand, successfully extracted support of the members for an ASEAN joint work plan for the 4th Industrial Revolution. ASEAN members have focused on the issue of children rights and protection in 2019 for their concerted action and came out with some concrete agreements. Korean government pushed forward its signature ASEAN policy, New Southern Policy. In November, Korea held a successful ASEAN-Korea Commemorative Summit, which was an occasion that heralded Korea’s sincerity to develop a deeper relations with ASEAN. Vietnam took over the ASEAN Chair country position in 2020. Vietnamese’ Chairmanship draws attention especially in the area of ASEAN’s strategy in the superpower competition and of South China Sea dispute.
참고문헌 (33)
- 동북아플러스 책임 공동체 구상, "국정기획자문회의", ~ (2017)
- "신남방정책특별위원회 소개 자료" (2019)[URL]
- 이재현, "전환기 아세안의 생존전략: 현실주의와 제도주의의 중층적 적용과 그 한계", 동아연구, 31(1), pp.49~81 (2012), 동아연구소[DOI]
- 아세안과 신남방정책에 대한 한국인의 인식: 정치성향과 세대의 간극, "이재현", 아산정책연구원, ~, pp.아산정책연구원 이슈브리프 2020-03 (2020)
- "Joint Declaration of the ASEAN Defence Ministers on Sustainable Security" (2019)[URL]
- Aqil, Haziq Mahmud, "Amid US-China Tensions, ‘Not Easy’ for ASEAN to Stand Together; Must Find Common Ground: PM Lee", Channel News Asia, ~ (2019)
- Free and Open Indo-Pacific Strategy Outlook, "Arase, David", Institute of Southeast Asia Studies, ~, pp.Trends in Southeast Asia. No. 12 (2019)
- Arifianto, Alexander Raymond, "Indonesian Presidential Election 2019 - State of Play: Who Will Win in Largest Single-Day Elections?", RSIS Commentary, ~ (2019)
- "Chairman’s Statement of the 35th ASEAN Summit" (2019)[URL]
- "Joint Communique of the 52nd ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting" (2019)[URL]
- "ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific" (2019)[URL]
- Updates on the ASEAN Economic Community, "ASEAN", ASEAN, ~, pp.ASEAN Economic Integration Brief No. 6 (2019)
- "ASEAN Declaration on Industrial Transformation to Industry 4.0" (2019)[URL]
- "Joint Leaders’ Statement on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP)" (2019)[URL]
- Bayuni, Endy, "Will Jokowi Win the 2019 Race or Will it be Prabowo?", The Straits Times, ~ (2019)
- Chew, Amy, "Indonesia’s Joko Widodo Wins Second Term as President, as Elections Commission Releases Final Tally Early Amid Fears of Unrest", South China Morning Post, ~ (2019)
- Fang, Alex, "Vietnam’s 36% Export Surge to US Draws Scrutiny and Tariffs", Nikkei Asian Review, ~ (2019)
- "Regional Economic Outlook 2019: Asia and Pacific" (2019)[URL]
- The State of Southeast Asia: 2019 Survey Report, "ISEAS", Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, ~ (2019)
- Jaipragas, Bhavan, "Thailand Election: Confusion over Party-list Seat Allocation Sparks Controversy", South China Morning Post, ~ (2019)
- Jakarta Post, "New ASEAN Secretariat Building to be Opened by Jokowi on ASEAN Day", Jakarta Post, ~ (2019)
- Kavi, Chongkittavorn, "Vietnam’s Dual Foreign Policy Strategy", Bangkok Post, ~ (2020)
- Kusaka, Kiyoshi, "US-China Trade War will Hit ASEAN Economy Harder", Nikkei Asian Review, ~ (2019)
- Laksmana, Evan A., "Flawed Assumptions: Why the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific is Defective", AsiaGlobal Online, ~ (2019)
- The 2019 Indonesian Elections: An Overview, "Lane, Max", ISEAS, ~, pp.ISEAS Perspective 2019:49 (2019)
- Malvenda, Michael, "Trade War Incentives Schemes in ASEAN", ASEAN Briefing, ~ (2019)
- "Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, Chin and India" (2019)[URL]
- Parameswaran, Prashanth, "Why 2020 Will Be a Big Year for Vietnam’s Foreign Policy", Asia Dispatch, ~ (2019)
- Shao, Grace, "US Imports from China Shrank More Than 13% - but Imports from Vietnam are Popping", CNBC, ~ (2019)
- Thayer, Carl, "A Closer Look at the ASEAN-China Single Draft South China Sea Code of Conduct", The Diplomat, ~ (2018)
- The Business Times, "Asean Countries Benefiting from Trade War: Maybank Kim Eng", The Business Times, ~ (2019)
- Thongnoi, Jitsiree, "Thailand’s Election Results Have been Endorsed but Stand-off Between Junta and ‘Democratic Front’ Persists", South China Morning Post, ~ (2019)
- Thu, Houng Le, "China’s Incursion into Vietnam’s EEZ and Lessons from the Past", Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, ~ (2019)
