아파트 가격에 대한 주거용 난방방식의 영향 분석 : 한국 인천광역시 계양구의 실증적 연구
Analysis of the influence of residential heating method on apartment prices : An empirical study of Gyeyang-gu, Incheon, Korea
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초록
본 연구는 주거용 난방방식이 아파트 가격에 미치는 영향을 실증적으로 분석하고 시사점을 도출하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 연구대상 지역은 개별난방, 중앙난방, 지역난방 방식이 혼재되어 있는 인천광역시 계양구로 선정되었고 해당 지역의 아파트 매물자료 1,213개를 활용하였다. 난방방식을 아파트에 내재된 속성으로 고려하여 아파트 가격 방정식을 추정하고 헤도닉 가격기법을 적용하였다. 아파트 가격 방정식의 함수 형태와 추정 방법을 변화시켜 총 10개의 식을 추정하였다. 그 중 예측오차가 가장 작은 추정 결과에 따르면 지역난방 방식은 아파트 가격에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 지역난방 방식이 적용된 아파트의 가격이 타 난방방식이 적용된 아파트보다 높은 것으로 나타났으며 유의수준 5%에서 통계적으로 유의하였다. 타 난방방식과 지역난방 방식이 적용된 아파트 가격의 차이는 계양구 평균 아파트 가격의 약 8.7%였다. 본 연구는 인천시 계양구만을 대상으로 수행되었기 때문에 연구 결과의 일반화에 주의할 필요가 있으나, 택지개발, 도심 재개발 및 재건축 시 사전에 난방방식을 결정하는데 중요한 참고자료로 활용될 수 있다.
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the effect of residential heating methods on apartment prices in an urban area in South Korea and to derive implications. For this purpose, 1,213 apartment sales data in Gyeyang-gu, Incheon, a large city in South Korea, Where individual heating, central heating, and district heating systems are mixed, were used. The apartment price equations were estimated by considering the heating method as an attribute inherent in the apartment, and the effect of each heating method on the apartment price was investigated using the hedonic price technique while other factors were kept constant. A total of 10 equations were estimated with different estimation methods. By finally selecting the equation with the smallest prediction error, it was made to select the optimal equation when the dependent variable is different. As a result, the apartment price equation was statistically significant, and the apartment price to which the district heating system was applied was significantly higher than others. The difference was statistically significant at the significance level of 5% and accounted for about 8.7% of the apartment price. It should be noted that this study was conducted for a specific area in South Korea, but it is important to note that heating method acts as an attribute inherent in the apartment, so that consumers prefer apartment with district heating systems over other heating systems. In addition, since the price premium of district heating apartment causes an increase in apartment prices that exceed the construction cost burden paid by district heating consumers at the time of moving in, the results of this study can be referred to in the process of determining heating methods for future redevelopment and reconstruction.
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