본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

한·중 FTA와 광양항 경유 대중국 수출상품의 비교우위

Korea-China FTA and Comparative Advantage of Export Commodity to China via the Gwangyang Port

0

조회

0

다운로드

7

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류해상운송학

초록

본 논문은 무역특화지수, 산업내무역지수, 경쟁형태, 무역수지기여도를 이용하여 광양항을 경유한 대중국 수출상품의 경쟁형태와 비교우위를 분석하였다. 수출경쟁력 분석결과, 품질경쟁력을 유지하거나 SQC(품질경쟁력 확보)로 전환된 품목이 증가하였으며, 산업내무역의 형태는 품질은 유사하지만 제품의 속성이 차이가 나는 수평적 산업내무역의 형태가 대부분을 차지하였다. 또한 무역수지 기여도는 대다수의 품목에서 2008년 대비 2012년에 증가한 것으로 나타났다. 대중국 수출경쟁력의 경우는 분석대상 8개 품목에서 4개품목이 SQC(품질경쟁력 확보)로 나타났으며, 나머지 4개품목은 SPC(가격경쟁력 확보)로 분석되었으며, 광양항 전체 분석 결과와 동일하게 수평적 산업내무역 형태가 절대적이었다. 그리고 가장 큰 무역수지 흑자 기여도를 보인 품목은 크릴로니트릴-부타디엔-스티렌 공중합체이며, 가장 큰 무역수지 적자 기여도를 보인 품목은 두께가 4.75mm 이상 10mm 이하인 평판압연제품으로 나타났다.

Abstract

Korea’s exports to China were increasing in great volume around Gwangyang portare, but the circumstance has been changed. In the past, the two nations were in cooperative relationship when it comes to division of labor. However, now it has turned into competitive relationship. As China has achieved advancement of its industrial infrastructure, the country has been trying to produce intermediary products locally. Most exports from Gwangyang port are petrochemicals and exports to China takes 22% from the total ratio. Also, Korea-China FTA is about to be prepared. This agreement includes negotiation of general, sensitive and super sensitive areas. Therefore, there has been a change in competition when it comes to exports of major products via the port. Consequently, this study is conducted by analyzing statistics. Thus, the study is conducted by using TSI(trade specialization index), IITI(intra-industry trade index), competition pattern analysis, and contribution ratio to trade of balance in order to examine comparative advantage. According to the research, items that changedto SQC and maintained the competitive advantage for quality are increased. Also, majority of IITI(intra-industry trade) were horizontal intra-industry trade which shares similar quality, but different from product attribute. In addition, compare to 2008 and 2012,contribution ratio to trade of balancees calated in general. Also, this research studied comparative advantage on trade with China and 4 out of 8 items were identified as SQC(successful quality competition) and the others were recognized as SPC(successful price competition). According to the overall analyze of Gwangyang port, horizontal IITI was most common and criinonitrill butadiene styrene showed the most trade surplus record. Flat-rolled product (4.75mm above and less below 10mm) analyzed as the most trade deficit category. Consequently, exports to China in Gwangyang port has comparative advantage, but it is not very clear because this comparative advantage is a mixture of price and quality measures. Thus, in order to increase capacity-especially in case of Korea-China FTA- high value products should be developed by technical innovation.

참고문헌 (16)

  1. 김완중, "중국과 동아시아 국가 간 교역구조와 결정요인 분석", 한중사회과학연구, 9(3), pp.195~215 (2011), 한중사회과학학회
  2. 모수원, "광양항과 인천항의 수출경쟁력 분석: 항만물동량을 중심으로", 해운물류연구, 29(4), pp.993~1008 (2013), 한국해운물류학회
  3. 모수원, "해운에서의 중국효과", 해운물류연구, 49, pp.1~19 (2006), 한국해운물류학회
  4. 모수원, "수입물동량함수의 추정: 부산항, 인천항, 광양항", 해운물류연구, 25(3), pp.621~637 (2009), 한국해운물류학회
  5. 수출상품의 경쟁형태와 비교우위 구조 분석, "한국무역협회 무역연구소", ~ (2002)
  6. 광양만권 경제의 특징과 발전 전략, "한국은행 광주전남본부", ~ (2012)
  7. Dickey, D.A., "Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, pp.427~431 (1979)
  8. Greenaway, D., "Country Specific Factors and the Pattern of Horizontal and Vertical Intra-Industry Trade in the U.K.", Welwirtschaftliches Archiv, 130, pp.77~99 (1994)
  9. Greenaway, D., "Vertical and Horizontal Intra-Industry Trade: A Cross Industry Analysis for the United Kingdom", The Economic Journal, 105, pp.1505~1518 (1995)
  10. Johansen, S., "Statistical Analysis of Cointegrating Vectors", Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, pp.231~254 (1988)
  11. Kenen, P.B., "Measuring and Analyzing the Effects of Short-Term Volatility in Real Exchange Rates", Review of Economics and Statistics, 68, pp.311~315 (1986)
  12. Newey, W.K., "A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heterosedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix", Econometrica, 55, pp.703~708 (1987)
  13. Park, J.Y., "Canoncial Cointegrating Regressions", Econometrica, 60, pp.119~143 (1992)
  14. Phillips, P.C.B., "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regressions with I(1) Processes", Review of Economic Studies, 57, pp.99~125 (1990)
  15. Stock, J.H., "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems", Econometrica, 61, pp.783~820 (1993)
  16. "한국무역협회"[URL]

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (8건)