‘워싱턴 선언’에 대한 분석과 평가, 발전방안

Abstract

The "Washington Declaration" can be regarded as the highest point of the extended deterrence strategy in response to the South Korean people's security concerns and wisdom about the growing and advanced North Korean nuclear threat. By stating in the declaration that "any nuclear attack by North Korea against South Korea will face an immediate, overwhelming and decisive response," it would cause considerable setbacks in North Korea's nuclear doctrine. South Korea and the U.S. jointly established the Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG) and the effectiveness of deterrence against North Korea was enhanced by specifying and implementing specific measures to be implemented immediately. The "Washington Declaration" is a defense line of the Nakdong River jointly established by South Korea and the U.S. in response to North Korea's nuclear threat. Just as the Korean War fought back from the Nakdong River defense line and advanced north, the South Korean and U.S. governments should aggressively evolve their strategies to respond to North Korea's nuclear threats. North Korea will take the initiative based on its superiority in nuclear power on the Korean Peninsula, conducting military, political and psychological provocations to weaken the alliance by opposing joint exercises and disrupting the development of strategic assets. South Korea and the U.S. should strengthen their alliance and overcome the limitations of the "declaration" to maintain a solid deterrence against North Korea's nuclear weapons program, which will not be swayed by change of government or interference from outside forces. In order to fundamentally resolve the North Korean nuclear threat, the presidential office should implement tentatively named the ‘Yongsan or Incheon’ project to get out of the footsteps of previous South Korean governments that failed due to mismatches of goals and means. The three-stage strategy for responding to North Korea's nuclear weapons program is to secure nuclear potential as an alternative to the first stage, promote Korean-style nuclear sharing as a preliminary alternative to the second stage, and promote independent nuclear armament as a final alternative to the third stage. The National Assembly should enact the tentatively named "North Korea Sanctions Act for the Denuclearization of North Korea." Defense workers who will lead North Korea's denuclearization should change their perception based on their expertise. They should be aware that it is deceiving the people to claim that North Korea's nuclear weapons can be suppressed with conventional forces. Except North Korea’s nuclear threats, neither they should not to push for "relaxing tensions between the two Koreas" nor "building military trust."