휘발유 가격 안정을 위한 유류세의 탄력세율 확대 검토
Does the government have to increase the flexible tax rate on gasoline to stabilize gasoline price in Korea?
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초록
본 연구는 유류세의 탄력세율 확대 방안에 대한 타당성 검토가 목적이다. 유류세의 탄력세율 확대를 반대하는 논리는 크게 두 가지이다. 하나는 현행 유류세 인하만으로도 휘발유 가격을 안정시킬 수 있다. 다른 하나는 유류세의 탄력세율 확대로 유류세의 하락폭이 클 경우, 휘발유 소비가 급증한다. 먼저 휘발유 가격 함수를 추정한 후 유류세가 휘발유 가격에 미친 영향을 분석했다. 분석 결과 유류세 인하에 따른휘발유 가격 하락폭보다 정유사 세전 가격 상승에 따른 휘발유 가격 상승폭이 더 컸으며, 이로 인해 휘발유 가격은상승했음을 밝혔다. 이는 현행 유류세의 탄력세율만으로는 국제 원유가가 급등할 경우 국내 휘발유 가격을 안정시킬
Abstract
This study is trying to explain why the government has to extend the flexible tax rate on gasoline in Korea. The government object to this proposal because it is thought that the current flexible tax rate can stabilize the gasoline price and the gasoline price decline by the extended flexible tax rate may increase the consumption of gasoline. The price function of gasoline was estimated to analyze how the tax on gasoline influenced the gasoline price. If the price of crude oil sky-rockets, the gasoline price also soars. If the tax on gasoline decreases under the current flexible rate regime, the gasoline price declines. This analysis showed that the former is bigger than the latter. So under the current flexible tax rate regime on gasoline, the government can't stabilize the gasoline price when the crude price increases sharply. The demand function of gasoline was also estimated to analyze how the tax on gasoline influenced the gasoline demand. The result explained that the demand of gasoline was inelastic to gasoline price change. So the gasoline demand is not going to soar even though the declined tax causes the gasoline price to decrease. The Korean government has to increase the flexible tax rate on gasoline according to two those results as soon as possible to prepare for the period when the crude oil price soars. It also takes much time to change the flexible tax rate on gasoline because the tax reform has to pass the parliament.
참고문헌 (18)
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