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복원 하천 서비스와 지역경제 : 실험적 모형

An Experiment Approach for Evaluating Effects of River Restoration on Regional Economy

한동근|김종원
국토연구원|2009.06|국토연구 (The Korea Spatial Planning Review)|제61권 |pp. 161-173|DOI 10.15793/kspr.2009.61..009

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참고문헌

키워드

하천복원Dynamic Analysis동태분석지역성장Regional GrowthCobb-Douglas Production FunctionRiver Restoration콥더글라스생산함수하천서비스Macro-modelRiver Service

초록

이 논문은 하천복원에 따른 어메니티의 증가가 지역성장, 투자, 그리고 소비에 영향을 미치는 메카니즘을 고려한 지역성장모델을 제시하고 있다. 본 연구는 하천복원이 지역경제에 영향을 미치는 경로를 두 가지로 고려한다. 하나는 하천복원에 따른 수변공간에서의 여가활동의 증가가 소비나 투자를 촉진하는 것이다. 다른 하나는 하천복원에 의한 쾌적성의 향상은 지역생산함수에서 총 요소생산성을 제고한다는 것이다. 복원하천에서 제공하는 여가, 실외활동의 기회는 새롭게 소비를 촉진하고 그것은 투자에 긍정적 영향을 미친다. 투자증대는 생산능력의 증대로 이어져 다음 기에 생산이 증가한다. 복원하천 서비스는 총 요소생산성도 증가시켜 생산을 직접적으로 증가시키는 요인으로 작용한다. 본 연구를 통하여 우리는 경제와 환경을 통합한 이론적 지역성장모형을 구축하고 그 효과를 측정할 수 있는 실험적 모형을 구축하였다. 이를 통하여 하천복원시업이 지역경제성장에 기여하는 부분을 측정할 수 있다는 점을 발견하였다.

Abstract

This paper offers a regional economic model that takes into account river restoration project. The model shows the mechanism in which amenity produced by restored river generates impacts on regional production, investment, and consumption. Our model connects amenity produced by restored river with production, investment, accumulation of capital stocks, and consumption in a way that dynamic movements of those variables can be traced. The amenity service has impacts on regional economy in two ways. Firstly, opportunities of leisure and outdoor activities created by water front stimulate consumption and investment. That is demand-side effect of river restoration. Secondly, amenity improves quality of environment, which in turn raises total factor productivity in regional production function. This paper suggests that the river restoration project could create much wider impact than generally thought to do, and improves regional economic growth rate as well as environmental quality.

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