시진핑시대의 대외정책과 대한반도정책 전망
The Prospects of Foreign Policy and Toward Korean Peninsular Policy in Xijinping Era
0
조회
0
다운로드
2
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
The Prospects of Foreign Policy and Toward Korean Peninsular Policy in Xijinping Era The change of Chinese leadership in 2012 may affect its policy toward the Korean peninsular. If we research carefully foreign policy line after 1949, we can find correlation between leadership change and foreign policy. Up to now, Jinping Xi is likely to be the top leadership for the next time. Jinping Xi is descended from the Taizidang(太子黨), it's policy preference is tend to lay emphasis on relations with great powers. Because China accomplish to make Xiaokang(小康) by 2020, they have to strive for continuous development and is very likely to succeed the 'peaceful development' that is the existing foreign policy line. The peculiarity of the Korean peninsular to China will be reflected in Chinese policy toward the Korean peninsular during the era of Jinping Xi that will be persist the keynote of former leaderships, i.e. the maintenance of peace and stability in the Korean peninsular, strengthening influence toward the Korean peninsular and denuclearization of the Korean peninsular. But Chinese policy toward the Korean peninsular will be affected very important factors as Chinese status in the international society, Sino-America relations, relations between the South and the North of Korea, an sudden behaviour of the North Korea and the south Korean policy preference of the next administration, etc.
Abstract
The Prospects of Foreign Policy and Toward Korean Peninsular Policy in Xijinping Era The change of Chinese leadership in 2012 may affect its policy toward the Korean peninsular. If we research carefully foreign policy line after 1949, we can find correlation between leadership change and foreign policy. Up to now, Jinping Xi is likely to be the top leadership for the next time. Jinping Xi is descended from the Taizidang(太子黨), it's policy preference is tend to lay emphasis on relations with great powers. Because China accomplish to make Xiaokang(小康) by 2020, they have to strive for continuous development and is very likely to succeed the 'peaceful development' that is the existing foreign policy line. The peculiarity of the Korean peninsular to China will be reflected in Chinese policy toward the Korean peninsular during the era of Jinping Xi that will be persist the keynote of former leaderships, i.e. the maintenance of peace and stability in the Korean peninsular, strengthening influence toward the Korean peninsular and denuclearization of the Korean peninsular. But Chinese policy toward the Korean peninsular will be affected very important factors as Chinese status in the international society, Sino-America relations, relations between the South and the North of Korea, an sudden behaviour of the North Korea and the south Korean policy preference of the next administration, etc.
참고문헌 (56)
- 김애경, "중국의 개혁개방기 ‘강대국화’ 담론 연구, In 중국의 강대국화: 비교 및 국제정치학적 접근" (2006), 도서출판 길
- 김애경, "중국의 대외정체성 인식 변화: 제1,2차 북핵 위기에 대한 중국의 역할변화 분석을 사례로", 국가전략, 10(4), pp.33~60 (2004), 세종연구소
- 김재철, "중국의 정치개혁: 지도부, 당의 지도력 그리고 정치체제" (2002), 한울
- 박홍서, "신현실주의 이론을 통한 중국의 대한반도 군사개입 연구:1592년, 1627년, 1894년, 그리고 1950년 사례를 중심으로", 한국정치학회보, 40(1), pp.181~200 (2006), 한국정치학회
- 서진영, "21세기 중국정치: ‘성공의 역설’과 중국적 사회주의의 미래" (2008), 폴리테리아
- 이상숙, "김정일-후진타오 시대의 북중관계: 불안정한 북한과 부강한 중국의 비대칭협력 강화", 한국과 국제정치, 26(4), pp.119~144 (2010), 극동문제연구소
- 이동률, "한·중 간 외교안보 현안: 양국관계의 주요 요인을 중심으로", 현대중국학회 자료집 (2007)
- 이종석, "북한-중국관계: 1945~2000" (2000), 도서출판 중심
- 주장환, "중국 제5세대 정치 엘리트: 행위자와 구조적 특성에 대한 분석", 국가전략, 17(3), pp.149~174 (2011), 세종연구소
- 주장환, "제5세대 엘리트의 성격과 특징", 고려대 아세아문제연구소 HK사업단-동북아역사재단 공동학술회의 자료집 (2011)
- 전병곤, "중북관계, In 중국현대국제관계" (2008), 도서출판 오름
- 전병곤, "천안함 이후 북중관계의 변화와 영향", 한중사회과학연구, 9(1), pp.1~25 (2011), 한중사회과학학회
- "2010 북한의 대외무역동향, KOTRA자료 11-033", ~ (2010)
- "한중 통화스와프 568억 달러로 배 확대", 동아일보, ~ (2011)
- Bergsten, C. Fred, "China: The Balance Sheet" (2007), Public Affairs
- Dreyer, June Teufel, "Chinese Foreign Policy", Orbis, 12(5) (2007)
- Gati, Charles, "The Bloc That Failed: Soviet-East European Relations in Trans ition" (1990), Indiana University Press
- New Foreign Policy Actors in China, "Jakobson, Linda", SIPRI, ~ (2010)
- Kelly, Rita M., "Personality, Behavior and Communist Ideology", Soviet Studies, 21(2) (1970)
- Krasner, Stephen D., "Bureaucracies Important?", Foreign Policy, 7 (1972)
- Ruan Zongze, "CHINA’S ROLE IN A NORTHEAST ASIAN COMMUNITY", Asian Perspective, 30(3), pp.149~158 (2006), 극동문제연구소
- Shih, Victor C., "Factions and Finance in China" (2008), MIT Press
- Singer, J. David, "The Level of Analysis Problem in International Relations", World Politics, 14(1) (1961)
- "Joining the Major Powers for the Status Quo: China's Views and Policy on Korean" (1999)[URL]
- "The Source of Chinese Conduct" (2011)[URL]
- Yan, Xuetong, "How Assertive Should a Great Power Be?", New York Times, ~ (2011)
- "同心協力, 共創未來- 在二十國集團領導人第四次峰會上的講話" (2010)[URL]
- 聶資魯, "論江澤民同志的外交思想-學習江澤民總書記'七․一'重要講話的體會", 南京社會科學, (10) (2001)
- "世界睦隣友好,共同發展繁榮-在莫斯科國際關係學院国际关系学院演講"[URL]
- 邵峰, "朝核問題走向及中國的應對", 亞非縱橫, (1) (2007)
- 蘇長, "中国: 理智面對規則", 環球時報, ~ (1999)
- "習近平在京出席朝鮮勞動黨成立65周年慶祝宴會" (2010)[URL]
- "習近平說“發展才是硬道理仍然管用”用意何在?" (2010)[URL]
- "習近平出席紀念中非合作論壇成立10周年硏討會開幕式幷發表演講" (2010)[URL]
- "習近平强調:黨的對外工作要繼往開來再創輝煌" (2011)[URL]
- "習近平: 中國不會對任何國家構成威脅只會帶來機會" (2010)[URL]
- 楊成緖, "大國關係現況與發展趨勢", 俄羅斯研究, (1) (2002)
- "讓我們共同製造一個更美好的世界-在聯合國成立五十周年特别紀念會議上的講話", 人民日報, ~ (1995)
- 呂新國, "大國關係與中國外交", 現代國際關係, 1 (1998)
- 閻學通, "中國應承擔與自身地位匹配的責任", 國際先驅導報 (2011)
- 葉自成, "構建大國交之魂", 國際經濟論壇, (5) (2001)
- 葉自成, "中國大外交" (2009), 當代世界出版社
- 吳前進, "周恩来睦隣外交思想中的僑務觀", 岭南學刊, (2) (1998)
- 王逸舟, "中國與多邊外交", 世界經濟與政治, (10) (2001)
- 李景治, "‘9․11事件'後國際形勢的特點及走向", 國際論壇, (6) (2001)
- 李天英, "朝鮮半島的地緣政治與中國安全", 陝西社會主義學院學報, (2) (2004)
- 林利民, "關於中國21世纪初對外戰略的幾點思考", 現代國際關係, (3) (2000)
- "爲建立公正合理的國際秩序而共同努力- 在俄羅斯聯邦国家杜馬的演講", 人民日報, ~ (1997)
- 禚寶山, "朝鮮半島的地緣戰略價値", 長春師範學院學報, (9) (2004)
- 张璉瑰, "朝鲜半島的统一與中國", 當代亞太, (5) (2004)
- 丁詩傳, "世紀之交大國關係調整的進程與特點", 世界經濟與政治論壇, (1) (1999)
- "中央外事工作會議在京擧行, 胡錦濤作重要講話" (2006)[URL]
- "中華人民共和國與与俄羅斯聯邦聯合聲明"[URL]
- 沈驥如, "維護東北亞安全的當務之急: 制止朝核問題上的危險博弈", 世界經濟與政治, (9) (2003)
- "胡錦濤在黨的十七大上的報告" (2007)[URL]
- 黃載皓, "中國國防部長曹剛川訪韓的意義與成果", 當代亞太, (6) (2006)
