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중국의 적정 외환보유액 추정과 활용에 관한 연구

A Study on the an Adequate Amount of Foreign Exchange Holdings of China

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초록

This paper examines whether the level of international reserves in China has become excessive. An experience approach and a theoretical approach(cost-benefit model) show that Chinese reserves level have grown far beyond what can reasonably considered adequate. And Chinese government established China Investment Corporation(CIC) so as to invest excess reserves in 2007. The sovereign wealth fund in China will be increased leverage in international financial market. Considering excess international reserves, China have to increase outward investment in scale.

Abstract

This paper examines whether the level of international reserves in China has become excessive. An experience approach and a theoretical approach(cost-benefit model) show that Chinese reserves level have grown far beyond what can reasonably considered adequate. And Chinese government established China Investment Corporation(CIC) so as to invest excess reserves in 2007. The sovereign wealth fund in China will be increased leverage in international financial market. Considering excess international reserves, China have to increase outward investment in scale.

참고문헌 (10)

  1. 중국 위안화 절상 전망과 파급효과 및 대응방안, "김봉한", 한국경제연구원, ~ (2008)
  2. 이진수, "적정 외환보유액 수준에 대한 연구", 조사연구 Review, (26) (2009), 금융감독원
  3. 조갑제, "“The Determinant of International Reserve Hoarding in Korea: Cointegration and Error Correction Approach”, mimemo", ~ (2007)
  4. Aizenman, Joshua, "International Reserves: Precautionary Versus Mercantilist Views, Theory and Evidence", Open Economic Review, 19, pp.191~214 (2007)
  5. Country Insurnace: The Role of Domestic Policy, "Becker, T.", ~, pp.IMF Occasional Paper 254 (2007)
  6. The Management of china International Reserves: China and a SWF Scoreboard, "Edwin M. Truman", Peterson Institute for International Economics, ~ (2007)
  7. Jeanne, Olivier, "International Reserves in Emerging Market Countries: Too Much of a Good Thing?", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1 (2007)
  8. Jeanne, O, "The Optimal Level of International Reserves For Emerging Market Countries: a New Formula and Some Applications", CEPR (2009)
  9. Financial Stability, The Trilemma, and International Reserves, "Obstfeld, M.", ~, pp.NBER Working Paper 14217 (2009)
  10. Reserve Accumulation: Objective or By-Product, "Wijnholds, J. Onno de Beaufort", European Central Bank, ~, pp.Occasional Paper Series No. 73 (2007)

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