민주주의는 왜 수호되어야 하는가? : 전쟁수행과 위기대응을 중심으로
Why Should Democracy Be Defended? : War and Crisis Performance
1
조회
0
다운로드
3
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
기존의 안보연구가 전쟁 및 군사위기의 승패를 설명함에 있어 경제력, 과학기술, 군사력 같은 물질적 요인에 집중했다면, 본 연구는 국내 정치제도에서 비롯된 정치적 의지 같은 비물질적 요인의 중요성을 환기시킨다. 민주국가와 전쟁수행 및 위기대응 간의 관계에 대한 경험적, 이론적 검토는 전자가 후자에 매우 강력한 긍정적 효과를 갖고 있음을 보여준다. 특히, 선출인단이론과 청중비용이론의 최근 연구성과는 민주주의가 전쟁수행 및 위기대응에 매우 취약하다거나 무관하다는 일부 주장을 효과적으로 반박한다. 결국, 자유민주적 기본질서를 수호하는 것은 본 연구에서 소개된 인정욕구, 재산권, 전쟁수행 및 위기대응의 관점에서 지극히 합리적이고 당위적인 것이 된다고 할 수 있다. 이러한 결과는 미래 국방력 강화에 있어 민주적 가치에 대한 이해 증진, 군사적 사기 및 승리에 대한 확신 같은 무형전력을 강화하는 것이 핵심 과제임을 함의한다.
Abstract
While existing security studies have focused on material factors such as economic power, scientific technology, and military power in explaining war and crisis outcomes, this study evokes the importance of non-material factors such as domestic political institutions and political will. The empirical and theoretical review of the relationship between democracy and war/crisis performance shows that democracy has very strong positive effects on war/crisis performance. In particular, selectorate theory and audience cost theory’s empirical findings and theoretical logic effectively refute some arguments that democracy is not related to war/ crisis performacne. Therefore, it can be concluded that defending democracy is quite normative and rational in terms of the appetite for recognition, property rights, and war/crisis performance discussed in this study. This study also implies that strengthening the intangible fighting power such as the awareness of democratic values, military morale, and confidence of victory is a crucial task in the future defense policy.
참고문헌 (45)
- 국방부, "보도자료: 21-25 국방중기계획", ~ (2020)
- 김지용, "무역안보외부효과 가설의 재검토: 동맹의 신뢰성과 무역자유화 사이의 인과관계를 중심으로", 한국정치학회보, 45(5), pp.371~396 (2011), 한국정치학회
- 김지용, "위기 시 청중비용의 효과에 관한 이론 논쟁 및 방법론 논쟁의 전개과정 고찰, 1994-2014", 국제정치논총, 54(4), pp.195~232 (2014), 한국국제정치학회
- 김지용, "청중비용이론과 한반도 위기, 2010-2015", 평화연구, 24(2), pp.123~162 (2016), 평화와 민주주의연구소[DOI]
- 김지용, "청중비용 억지위협의 타이밍과 신뢰성: 2017 한반도 위기 진단을 위한 경험 분석", 국가전략, 24(1), pp.91~122 (2018), 세종연구소
- 김지용, "야당의 의회 장악력, 지도자의 재임시점 그리고 청중비용: 2016-2022년 동안의 미국 행정부의 군사위협 신뢰성 예측", 국방연구, 62(3), pp.63~92 (2019), 국가안전보장문제연구소[DOI]
- 김지용, "미국 대통령의 여론 민감도와 청중비용", 국방연구, 63(3), pp.55~82 (2020), 국가안전보장문제연구소[DOI]
- 이춘근, "전쟁과 국제정치" (2020), 북앤피플
- 태영호, "3층 서기실의 암호" (2018), 기파랑
- Arreguin-Toft, Ivan, "How the Weak Win Wars: A Theory of Asymmetric Conflict" (2005), Cambridge University Press
- Ausderan, Jacob, "Reassessing the democratic advantage in interstate wars using k-adic datasets", Conflict Management and Peace Science, 35(5) (2018)
- Baum, Matthew A., "War and Democratic Constraint: How the Public Influences Foreign Policy" (2015), Princeton University Press
- Biddle, Stephen, "Military Power: Explaining Victory and Defeat in Modern Battle" (2004), Princeton University Press
- Blainey, Geoffrey, "The Causes of War" (1973), Free Press
- Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, "The Logic of Political Survival" (2003), MIT Press
- Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, "Testing Novel Implications from the Selectorate Theory of War", World Politics, 56(4) (2004)
- Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, "The Dictator’s Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Good Politics" (2012), PublicAffairs
- Choi, Ajin, "The Power of Democratic Cooperation", International Security, 28(1) (2003)
- Dahl, Robert A, "Congress and Foreign Policy" (1950), Yale University
- Desch, Michael C, "Power and Military Effectiveness" (2008), Johns Hopkins University Press
- Evera, Stephen Van, "Causes of War: Power and the Roots of Conflict" (1999), Cornell University Press
- Fearon, James D., "Signaling versus the Balance of Power and Interests", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 38(2) (1994)
- Fearon, James D., "Domestic Political Audience and the Escalation of International Disputes", American Political Science Review, 88(3) (1994)
- Fearon, James D., "Rationalist Explanations for War", International Organization, 49(3) (1995)
- Fearon, James D., "Signaling Foreign Policy Interests", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 41(1) (1997)
- Fearon, James D., "Selection Effects and Deterrence", International Interactions, 28(1) (2002)
- Fukuyama, Francis, "The End of History and the Last Man" (1992), Free Press
- Galston, William, "Kant and the Problem of History" (1975), University of Chicago
- Gat, Azar, "Victorious and Vulnerable: Why Democracy Won in the 20th Century and How It is Still Imperiled" (2010), Hoover Institution
- Gelpi, Christopher, "Winners or Losers? Democracies in International Crisis, 1918-94", American Political Science Review, 95(3) (2001)
- Hegel, G.W.F, "역사철학강의" (2016), 동서문화사
- Hough, Peter, "국제안보의 이해: 이론과 실제" (2019), 명인문화사
- Huth, Paul K., "Extended Deterrence and the Prevention of War" (1988), Yale University Press
- Huth, Paul K., "Deterrence Failure and Crisis Escalation", International Studies Quarterly, 32(1) (1988)
- Lake, David A., "Powerful Pacifists: Democratic States and War", American Political Science Review, 86(1) (1992)
- Leeds, Brett Ashley, "Alliance Treaty Obligations and Provisions, 1815-1944", International Interactions, 28(3) (2002)
- Leeds, Brett Ashley, "Alliance Reliability in Times of War: Explaining State Decision to Violate Treaties", International Organization, 57(4) (2003)
- Maurois, André, "Tragedy in France" (1950), Harper and Brothers
- May, Ernest R., "Strange Victory: Hitler's Conquest of France" (2000), Hill and Wang
- North, Douglass, "Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance" (1990), Cambridge University Press
- Olson, Mancur, "Power and Prosperity: Outgrowing Communist and Capitalist Dictatorships" (2000), Basic Books
- Partell, Peter J., "Audience Costs and Interstate Crises", International Studies Quarterly, 43(2) (1999)
- Reiter, Dan, "Democracies at War" (2002), Princeton University Press
- Schultz, Kenneth A., "Democracy and Coercive Diplomacy" (1987), Cambridge University Press
- Zagare, Frank C., "Perfect Deterrence" (2000), Cambridge University Press
