지정학적 딜레마에 빠진 한반도의 전략적 전환방안

Abstract

With East Asia emerging as the center of the world, the Korean Peninsula, located in the geopolitical crossroad, is becoming a subject of global attention. In the past, we were concerned about geopolitical risks on the Korean Peninsula, but now it seems no longer so. The geopolitical situation on the Korean Peninsula is changing dramatically. This study sought to explore what strategic transition would be desirable in terms of grand strategy. As a methodology for this, we applied the model of Robert O. Keohane and Joseph S. Nye to analyze the status quo of the Korean Peninsula and to derive a desirable strategic shift by utilizing factors that affect the continuation and transformation of the grand strategy that Williamson Murray argued in the theory of grand strategy. This study introduced the strategic transition case in the British Empire between 1890 and 1910, the security situation around the Korean peninsula between 1990 and 2019, additionally analyzed by comparing the British Empire and Korea cases. The results of the research are the followings. Firstly, negotiating North Korea-Japan, U.S.-North Korea diplomatic normalization based on the complex interdependence model. Secondly, searching for the possibility of multiple-bandwagoning. Thirdly, the Six-Party Talks would serve as a significant step toward constructing a comprehensive East Asian security order. Therefore, developing to maintain a structure and function similar to a regional cooperation security regime. Fourthly, maintaining flexibility and continuity of grand strategy and the application plan of expert groups. Therefore, this study is to provide a new insight about strategic transition approach. Key words: Geo Politics, Strategic Transition Approach, Grand Strategy, Complex Interdependence.