오바마 행정부의 안보전략: 절제된 방위와 적극적 외교
The Security Strategy of the Obama Administration
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본 논문은 오바마 행정부의 안보전략에 나타날 주요 특징들을 전망한다. 핵심주장을 정리하면, 오바마 정부는 기본적으로 절제되고 균형 잡힌 전략을 채택할 것이다. 무력사용을 배제하지 않으면서도 가급적 자제할 것이며, 민주주의 확산과 가치동맹의 확대를 추구하는 데 있어 신중을 기할 것이다. 이러한 현실주의적 기조를 바탕으로 국제제도와 경제원조 등 자유주의적 정책수단의 활용도 아울러 추구할 것이다. 변화를 표방하는 오바마 정부도 전쟁과 경제위기 등 구조적 제약 때문에 당분간 전략적 대전환을 시도할 수 없을 것이다. 초당파적 외교를 강조하며 공화당계 인사를 중용하는 것도 전략상의 연속성을 강화하고 있다.
Abstract
This article aims to illuminate key characteristics of the Obama administration’s emerging security strategy. It argues that the new administration will likely adopt a strategy of restraint and balance. Use of force, albeit not excluded in principle, will be a last resort, while the promotion of democratic governance and value-based alliance will be sought with greater caution. In addition to these realist postures, the Obama administration also will utilize liberalist instruments including international institutions and economic assistance. Despite his strong preference for change, President Barack Obama will not be able to transform U.S. security policy drastically, due to structural constraints (such as the ongoing wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and the financial crisis) as well as his advocacy of bipartisanship.
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