광역자치단체 재정지출의 지역내 기초자치단체별 GRDP 파급효과 - 경북지역을 중심으로-
GRDP allocation effects of provincial government spending on local governments - A case study for the Kyungbuk Province-
0
조회
0
다운로드
5
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This study analyzes economic effects of provincial government expenditure on small local governments through a case study for the Kyungbuk Province. For this purpose, we build simple dynamic macro model, composed of macro variables such as GRDP, private consumption, fixed capital investment, inventory investment, government spending(consumption, investment), net export and regional exchange. It is estimated that the increased spending of Kyungbuk province by 100.0 billion won in 2010 increases the GRDP of Kyungbuk province by 147.0 billion won in 2010, by 17.0 billion won in 2011, and by - 50.0 billion won in 2012. It is also found that GRDP ratios of small local governments to Kyungbuk province have positive relations with population and land shares of small local governments, but negative relation with agriculture and farm land shares. Estimated GRDP allocation ratios of each small local governments by the increased spending of 100.0 billion won of Kyungbuk province in 2010 are 32.6% for Kumi, 22.3% for Pohang, 8.4% for Kyungju, and 6.0% for Kyungsan, among others.
Abstract
This study analyzes economic effects of provincial government expenditure on small local governments through a case study for the Kyungbuk Province. For this purpose, we build simple dynamic macro model, composed of macro variables such as GRDP, private consumption, fixed capital investment, inventory investment, government spending(consumption, investment), net export and regional exchange. It is estimated that the increased spending of Kyungbuk province by 100.0 billion won in 2010 increases the GRDP of Kyungbuk province by 147.0 billion won in 2010, by 17.0 billion won in 2011, and by - 50.0 billion won in 2012. It is also found that GRDP ratios of small local governments to Kyungbuk province have positive relations with population and land shares of small local governments, but negative relation with agriculture and farm land shares. Estimated GRDP allocation ratios of each small local governments by the increased spending of 100.0 billion won of Kyungbuk province in 2010 are 32.6% for Kumi, 22.3% for Pohang, 8.4% for Kyungju, and 6.0% for Kyungsan, among others.
참고문헌 (20)
- 국회예산정책처, "(2010년도)대한민국재정", ~ (2010)
- 김경환, "지방재정조정제도 개선방안 연구", 서강경제포럼 (2000)
- 지역경쟁력의 원천 및 특성에 관한 연구, "김정홍", 산업연구원, ~, pp.연구보고서 2010-580 (2010)
- 김종웅, "자치단체간 경제통합의 경제적 효과분석 - 대구경북지역을 중심으로 -", 지역사회연구, 16(2), pp.105~126 (2008), 한국지역사회학회
- 김종웅, "지역경제모형을 활용한 지방재정정책의 효과분석* : 대구경북지역을 중심으로", 경제연구, 27(3), pp.105~130 (2009), 한국경제통상학회
- 이창균, "국고보조금의 보조율과 지방비부담에 관한 연구", 한국지방재정논집, 6(2), pp.123~141 (2001)
- 이춘근, "지역산업연관모형에 의한 안경산업 구조분석", 경제연구, 23(4), pp.243~268 (2005), 한국경제통상학회
- 임성일, "국고보조금제도의 개편내용에 대한 검토와 향후 과제", 지방재정, (2), pp.39~55 (2004)
- 윤건영, "동태적 일반균형모형을 이용한 조세정책의 효율성 평가", 한국조세학회지, 10 (1995), 한국조세학회
- 윤건영, "정부지출의 사회적 한계비용연구", 한국경상논총(현 경제연구), 16(2) (1998), 한국경제통상학회
- 지방단위 지속가능발전 지표 연구, "정회성", 한국환경정책평가연구원, ~, pp.연구보고서 RE-09 (2005)
- 한국은행, "2003년 지역산업연관표", ~ (2007)
- The Craft of Economic Modelling, "Almon,C", Unversity of Maryland, ~ (2002)
- EU Regional Competitiveness Index 2010, in JRC Scientific and Technical Reports, "Annoni, P", European Commission Joint Research Center, ~ (2010)
- Bristow,G, "Everyone's a 'winner':problematising the discourse of regional competitiveness", Journal of Economic Geography, 5, pp.285~304 (2005)
- Cameron, A, "Microeconometrics:Methods and Application" (2005), Cambridge University Press
- Cameron, A, "Microeconometrics Using Stata" (2009), Stata Press
- Huggins,R, "Creating a UK Competitiveness Index:Regional and Local Benchmarking", Regional Studies, 37(1), pp.89~96 (2003)
- McCann, P., "Urban and Regional Economics" (2001), Oxford University Press