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러시아 동시베리아 송유관 정채결정요인에 관한 비판적 고찰

Analysis of Russia's East Siberian Pipeline Policy

이유신
세종연구소 (The Sejong Institute)|2005.12|국가전략 (National Strategy)|제11권 제4호|pp. 99-125

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참고문헌

키워드

일본중국러시아JapanRussiaChinaPipelineOil석유동시베리아East Siberia송유관
주제분류정치외교학

초록

이 글은 러시아의 동시베리아 송유관 정책이 어떤 요인에 의해 결정되었는가를 이해해 보려는 시도이다. 지난 2003년 5월 러∙중 정상회담에서 양국정상이 러시아의 앙가르스크와 중국의 다칭을 잇는 송유관 건설계획을 승인했을때 러시아 송유관 정책은 중국에게 유리하게 전개되는 듯 해 보였다. 하지만, 일본이 자국에 유리한 송유관 건설을 위해 모든 외교력과 경제력을 동원한 이후 러시아 송유관 정책은 일본에게 유리하게 진행되었다. 실제로 지난 2004년 말 러시아 당국은 태평양으로 향하는 송유관 건설계획을 승인했다. 그러나 반년이 조금 지난 2005년 7월에 푸틴 대통령이 중국으로 향하는 송유관 지선 건설을 우선시 할 것임을 밝힌 후 태평양으로 향하는 송유관 건설계획의 실행여부가 불투명해졌다. 이에 필자는 러시아 송유관 정책결정 요인을 체계적으로 짚어보고 러시아의 경제적인 고려가 이 정책에 가장 중요한 역할을 했다고 주장하고 있다.

Abstract

This article examines Russia’s East Siberian pipeline policy. This pipeline policy has changed. At the Sino-Russian summit in May 2003, the leaders of both countries signed an agreement to build the Angarsk-Daqing pipeline route. Therefore, Russia’s pipeline appeared to go to China. Yet, Russia changed its position in December 2004 by signing a directive on the construction of an oil pipeline which would go to Russia’s Pacific shoreline. A half year later, however, the implementation of this plan became uncertain as Russian officials indicated that Moscow would prioritize building a branch pipeline to China. This article attempts to explain why Russia’s East Siberian policy has changed.

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