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북한체제 내폭 가능성과 주변국 반응-러시아의 경우와 그 정치적 함의

Perspectives of Russian Policy on the breakdown of North Korea

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Main theme of this article is to predict the policy of Russian government in the case of totally Chaotic phase of North Korean Political regime. There is the very risky point in the North Korean political system which has no buffer zone among the three levels of political system: leadership, communist party, and the regime. The fail of three levels of political system will be seen simultaneously and never recovered. In this case, Russian government will be expected to help R.O.K government to fix that chaotic situation and unify two Koreas for the benefit of her. Korean government must prepare for solving that problem, beforehand, keeping collaboration network among the neighboring countries.

Abstract

Main theme of this article is to predict the policy of Russian government in the case of totally Chaotic phase of North Korean Political regime. There is the very risky point in the North Korean political system which has no buffer zone among the three levels of political system: leadership, communist party, and the regime. The fail of three levels of political system will be seen simultaneously and never recovered. In this case, Russian government will be expected to help R.O.K government to fix that chaotic situation and unify two Koreas for the benefit of her. Korean government must prepare for solving that problem, beforehand, keeping collaboration network among the neighboring countries.

참고문헌 (13)

  1. 김화영, "<반항적 인간>의 쟁점-카뮈와 사르트르의 논쟁을 중심으로", 기독교와 문화, 통권 : 362 (1989)
  2. 이지수, "북핵문제에 대한 러시아의 입장과 정책", 한국과 국제정치, 19(4), pp.7~205 (2003), 극동문제연구소
  3. 이지수, "북한의 대외정책-정치권력의 성격과 관련하여", 춘계정기학술회의 발표 논문 (2011), 북한연구학회
  4. 이지수, "북한의 단독정권 수립과정과 정치적 함의", 한국정치외교사논총, 34(2), pp.101~132 (2013), 한국정치외교사학회
  5. Иванов, "Система безопасности", ДЕЛОВЫЕ ЛЮДИ, ~ (2003)
  6. Bulychev, "Two Scenarios for North Korea", Журнал «Россия в Гло бальной политике», No. 1. ЯНВ
  7. 김현택, "글로벌 전망 2030" (2012), 한국외국어대학교출판부
  8. 찰스 암스트롱, "북조선 탄생" (2005), 서해문집
  9. Дынкин, А.А, "Россия и мир: 2012. Экономика и внеш няя политика. Ежегодный прогноз", ИМЭМО РАН, ~ (2011)

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