식량위기: 어떻게 정의할 것인가?
How to Define Food Crises?
0
조회
0
다운로드
3
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This study attempts to define food crisis on the basis of food market indicators such as food price and food production, or their combination. For this purpose, we propose three indices to apply the data of different countries for the period 1961~2009. They are named as, respectively, nonlinear trend deviation index, food supply shortage index, and food market index. Key findings are as follows. First, many countries have experienced food crises of diverse degrees during the sample period, but the years 1973 and/or 2008 saw most of the countries afflicted by a food crisis in unison. The countries and years identified by, among others, the food shortage index for having experienced a food crisis most closely coincide with the actual incidence of food crises as revealed in previous researches. Lastly, insofar as food crises may strike globally rather than locally in the future, well-coordinated international cooperation seems imperative to better cope with them.
Abstract
This study attempts to define food crisis on the basis of food market indicators such as food price and food production, or their combination. For this purpose, we propose three indices to apply the data of different countries for the period 1961~2009. They are named as, respectively, nonlinear trend deviation index, food supply shortage index, and food market index. Key findings are as follows. First, many countries have experienced food crises of diverse degrees during the sample period, but the years 1973 and/or 2008 saw most of the countries afflicted by a food crisis in unison. The countries and years identified by, among others, the food shortage index for having experienced a food crisis most closely coincide with the actual incidence of food crises as revealed in previous researches. Lastly, insofar as food crises may strike globally rather than locally in the future, well-coordinated international cooperation seems imperative to better cope with them.
참고문헌 (31)
- 김태훈, "신호접근법을 이용한 국제곡물가격 조기경보시스템", 농촌경제, 32(3), pp.71~84 (2009), 한국농촌경제연구원
- 농업·농촌발전 기본계획, "농림부", ~ (2007)
- 국민경제 및 사회발전 제12차 5개년 규획강요, "대외경제정책연구원 북경사무소", 대외경제정책연구원, ~ (2011)
- 박원암, "한국 외환위기의 조기경보모형", 국제경제연구, 7(1), pp.55~79 (2001), 한국국제경제학회
- 박평식, "애그플레이션의 원인과 식량위기 대응방안", 한국국제농업개발학회지, 20(4), pp.278~285 (2008), 한국국제농업개발학회
- 글로벌 식량위기시대의 新식량안보 전략, "박환일", 삼성경제연구소, ~ (2011)
- 21세기 식량안보 확보방안, "성명환", 한국농촌경제연구원, ~ (2000)
- 한국 통화위기의 성격과 발생 원인에 대한 연구, "이충열", 한국금융연구원, ~ (2003)
- 일본 식량농업농촌 기본계획(I), "장재봉", 한국농촌경제연구원, ~ (2010)
- 일본 식량농업농촌 기본계획(II), "장재봉", 한국농촌경제연구원, ~ (2010)
- 국가식량안보 중장기 계획 요강, "정정길", 국가발전계획위원회, ~ (2008)
- 최규호, "세계식량위기와 한국의 식량문제에 관한 소고", 전북대학교 농대논문집, 12, pp.167~175 (1981)
- 일본의 21세기 신농정 2008, "최병옥", 한국농촌경제연구원, ~ (2008)
- "국가통계포털", 통계청[URL]
- What’s driving food prices?, "Abbott, P. C.", Farm Foundation, ~ (2008)
- What’s driving food prices?, "Abbott, P. C.", Farm Foundation, ~ (2009)
- Alert at Maradi: Preventing Food Crisis using Price Signals, "Araujo C.", CERDI, ~ (2010)
- "Department of Statistics, Malaysia"[URL]
- Speculative Attacks on Pegged Exchange Rates: An Empirical Exploration with Special Reference to the European Monetary System, "Eichengreen, B.", NBER, ~, pp.4898 (1994)
- Eichengreen, B., "Exchange Market Mayhem: the Antecedents and Aftermath of Speculative Attacks", Economic Policy, pp.251~395 (1995)
- FAO, "Crop Prospects and Food Situation", ~ (2008)
- FAO, "Trade Reforms and Food Security: Conceptualizing the Linkages", ~ (2003)
- Frankel, J., "Currency Crashes in Emerging Markets: An Empirical Treatment", Journal of International Economics, 41 (1996)
- Headey, D., "Reflections on the Global Food Crisis: How Did It Happen? How Has It Hurt? And How Can We Prevent the Next One?", Research Monographs, 165 (2008), Food Policy Research Institute
- IMF, "International Financial Statistics. various issues", ~
- Currency and Banking Crises: The Early Warning of Distress, "Kaminsky, G. L.", IMF, ~, pp.IMF Working Paper, No. 178 (1999)
- "Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development"[URL]
- Schnittker, J. A., "The 1972-73 Food Price Spiral", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2 (1973)
- Trostle, R., "Global agricultural supply and demand: Factors contributing to the recent increase in food commodity prices" (2008), United States Department of Agriculture
- Poverty and Hunger: Issues and Options for Food Security in Developing Countries, "World Bank", ~ (1986)