본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

일본 정치경제모델의 연속성과 변화: 발전주의와 후견주의의 동태적 상호작용

Continuity and Change in Japan’s Development Model: Dynamic Interaction between Developmentalism and Clientelism

이승주
아시아연구소|2022.08|아시아리뷰 (Asia Review)|제12권 제2호|pp. 73-106

1

조회

0

다운로드

3

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

일본Japan아베 정부developmentalismclientelism후견주의발전주의growth strategy성장 전략the Abe government
주제분류사회과학일반

초록

이 글은 2008년 글로벌 금융 위기 이후 일본 정치경제모델 변화의 성격을 규명하고, 그 과정을 동태적으로 설명하는 데 목 표가 있다. 1990년대 이후 변화의 압력에 장기간 노출되었던 일본 정치경제모델은 2008년 이후 중대한 변화의 기로에 진 입하였다. 2008년 글로벌 금융 위기, 2009년 민주당으로의 정권 교체, 2011년 3·11 동일본 대지진, 2012년 자민당의 재 집권 등 2008년 이후 일본의 정치경제는 국내외적 위기의 연속이었다. 이 연구는 글로벌 금융 위기 이후 일본 정치경제모 델의 변화를 연속성 대 단절이라는 이분법을 넘어, 연속성과 단절의 이중 동학이 전개되고 있다는 점에 주목한다. 이를 위 해 일본 정치경제모델의 변화를 균형의 수립, 약화와 이완, 새로운 균형의 모색이라는 동태적 변화의 시각에서 설명한다.

Abstract

This article aims to identify the nature of the change in Japan’s development model after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and to explain the dynamic process of change. The Japanese developmental model, which had been exposed to the pressures of change since the 1990s, entered a transition period after 2008. Japan’s political economy has witnessed a series of domestic and international crises, including the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, regime change to the Democratic Party in 2009, the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, and the Liberal Democratic Party’s (LDP’s) return to power in 2012. This study posits that the dual dynamics of continuity and change has unfolded in the Japanese political economy in the 2010s, claiming that the simplified dichotomy of continuity or discontinuity is unable to shed light on the changing dynamics of Japan’s development model. In order to overcome the analytic pitfall, I attempt to explain the changes in Japan’s development model from the perspective of dynamic changes: the formation and unraveling of equilibrium and the creation of a new equilibrium.

참고문헌 (78)

  1. 권순미, "일본 민주당 정권의 정책 전환: 증세 없는 복지에서 복지를 위한 증세로", 한국정당학회보, 14(1), pp.37~62 (2015), 한국정당학회
  2. 박성빈, "전후 일본의 호송선단식 금융행정과 아마쿠다리", 한국정치학회보, 38(3), pp.277~296 (2004), 한국정치학회
  3. 이승주, "일본 FTA 정책의 형성과 변화: 행위자와 제도의 상호작용을 중심으로", 한국과 국제정치, 25(3), pp.65~97 (2009), 극동문제연구소[DOI]
  4. 이승주, "아베노믹스의 정치경제: 정책적 차별성의 정치적 기원", 사회과학연구, 25(4), pp.95~118 (2018), 사회과학연구원[DOI]
  5. 이승주, "아베 정부와 전략적 다자주의의 부상: TPP", CPTPP 전략을 중심으로, 2020, pp.26(2), 97~121[DOI]
  6. 이정환, "일본 민주당 정권의 소비세 인상으로의 정책전환과 분열", 한국정치학회보, 47(2), pp.149~167 (2013), 한국정치학회[DOI]
  7. 이정환, "장기불황, 구조개혁, 생활보수주의", 일본비평, 6(1), pp.98~123 (2014), 일본연구소
  8. 이정환, "아베노믹스와 소비세 인상 연기의 정치과정", 국제정치논총, 56(3), pp.229~261 (2016), 한국국제정치학회
  9. 이정환, "일본 농업 이익유도정치의 쇠퇴: 아베 정권, 자민당 농림족, 농업개혁", 현대정치연구, 11(2), pp.43~72 (2018), 현대정치연구소[DOI]
  10. 최희식, "아베노믹스의 정치경제학:정책과 ‘잠복된 갈등’", 의정연구, 19(3), pp.177~185 (2013), 한국의회발전연구회
  11. 猪口孝, "「族議員」の研究: 自民党政権を牛耳る主役たち" (1987), 日本経済新聞出版
  12. 外務省 経済局, "日本の経済連携協定: 現狀と課題" (2009)
  13. 河村徳士, "通商産業政策（1980~2000年）の概要（5） 立地·環境·保安政策" (2014)
  14. "科学技術·イノベーション"[URL]
  15. 閣議決定, "科学技術基本計画" (2016)
  16. 総務省, "情報通信白書" (2021)
  17. 産業構造審議会 新産業構造部会 事務局, "新産業構造ビジョン ⼀⼈ひとりの、世界の課題を解決する⽇本の未来" (2017)
  18. "産業構造審議会"[URL]
  19. "審議会·懇談会等(政策会議等)"[URL]
  20. Amyx, Jennifer, "Japan’s Financial Crisis: Institutional Rigidity and Reluctant Change" (2004), Princeton University Press
  21. Aoki, Masahiro, "The Contingent Governance of Teams: Analysis of Institutional Complementarity", International Economic Review, 35(3), pp.657~676 (1994)
  22. Calder, K, "Japanese Foreign Economic Policy Formation: Explaining the Reactive State", World Politics, 40(4), pp.517~541 (1988)[DOI]
  23. Callon, Scott, "Divided Sun: MITI and the Breakdown of Japanese High-techIndustrial Policy, 1975-1993" (1993), Stanford University Press
  24. Cheng, Peter P, "Political Clientelism in Japan: The Case of “S", Asian Survey, 28(4), pp.471~483 (1988)
  25. Doner, Richard F, "Systemic Vulnerability and the Origins of Developmental States: Northeast and Southeast Asia in Comparative Perspective", International Organization, 59(2), pp.327~361 (2005)
  26. Dore, Ronald, "Flexible Rigidities: Industrial Policy and Structural Adjustment in the Japanese Economy 1970-1980" (1980), Athlone Press
  27. Haggard, Stephen, "Institutions and Growth in East Asia", Studies in Comparative International Development, 38(4), pp.53~81 (2004)
  28. "The Abe Government Grapples with Low IT Investment" (2015)[URL]
  29. Hathaway, Oona A, "Positive Feedback: The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Industry Demands for Protection", International Organization, 52(3), pp.575~612 (1998)
  30. Incerti, Trevor, "The Politics of Energy and Climate Change in Japan under Abe: Abenergynomics", Asian Survey, 58(4), pp.607~634 (2018)
  31. "Japan’s Record 107.6 Trillion Budget for Fiscal 2022"[URL]
  32. "Japan – Rural Population"[URL]
  33. Jakobsen, Josse Jackson, "Three Arrows Cannot Be Broken: A Study of Abenomics’ Third Stage of Structural Reform" (2014)
  34. Johnson, Chalmers, "MITI and the Japanese Miracle: The Growth of Industrial Policy, 1925-1975" (1975), Stanford University Press
  35. Johnson, Chalmers, "Politics and Productivity: The Real Story of Why Japan Works" (1989), Ballinger
  36. Jou, Willy, "Presidentialization of Japanese Politics? Examining Political Leader Evaluations and Vote Choice", Japanese Journal of Political Science, 16(3), pp.357~387 (2015)
  37. Kalinowski, Thomas, "Crisis Management and the Diversity of Capitalism:Fiscal stimulus Packages and the East Asian (Neo-)Developmental State", Economy and Society, 44(2), pp.244~270 (2015)
  38. Katada, Saori N, "Financial Crisis Fatigue? Politics behind Japan’s Post-Global Financial Crisis Economic Contraction", Japanese Journal of Political Science, 14(2), pp.223~242 (2013)
  39. Katz, Richard, "Japan, the System That Soured" (1998), Routledge
  40. Katz, Richard, "Voodoo Abenomics: Japan’s Failed Comeback Plan", Foreign Affairs, 93(4), pp.133~141 (2014)
  41. Why was Japan Hit So Hard by the Global Financial Crisis?, "Kawai, Masahiro", Asian Development Bank Institute, ~, pp.ADBI Working Paper Series No. 153 (2009)
  42. Kingston, Jeff, "Japan’s Nuclear Village", Asia-Pacific Journal, 10(37) (2012)
  43. Krauss, Ellis, "Select Crisis Management, LDP, and DPJ Style", Japanese Journal of Political Science, 14(2), pp.177~199 (2013)
  44. Krauss, Ellis S, "Presidentialization’ in Japan? The Prime Minister, Media and Elections in Japan", British Journal of Political Science, 35(2), pp.357~368 (2005)
  45. Kushida, Kenji E, "Leading without Followers: How Politics and Market Dynamics Trapped Innovations in Japan’s Domestic “Galapagos” Telecommunications Sector.", Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 11, pp.279~307 (2011)
  46. Lechevalier, Sébastien, "Financialization and Industrial Policies in Japan and Korea: Evolving Institutional Complementarities and Loss of State Capabilities", Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 48, pp.69~85 (2019)
  47. Phillip Y. Lipscy, "A Casualty of Political Transformation? The Politics of Energy Efficiency in the Japanese Transportation Sector", Journal of East Asian Studies, 12(3), pp.409~439 (2012), 동아시아연구원
  48. McKinsey Global Institute, "The Future of Japan: Reigniting Productivity and Growth" (2015)
  49. Mie, Ayako, "Abe under Pressure from His Party to Protect ‘Sacred Five", The Japan Times, ~ (2013)
  50. Mizobata, Satoshi, "The Japanese Economic System under the Global Crisis:Change and Continuity", Economy and Society, 33(2), pp.271~294 (2011)
  51. Mulgan, Aurelai George, "Where Tradition Meets Change: Japan’s Agricultural Politics in Transition", The Journal of Japanese Studies, 31(2), pp.261~298 (2005)
  52. Mulgan, Aurelai George, "The Abe Administration and the Rise of the Prime Ministerial Executive" (2017), Routledge
  53. Noble, Gregory W, "Collective Action in East Asia: How Ruling Parties Shape Industrial Policy" (1999), Cornell University Press
  54. Gregory W. Noble, "The Decline of Particularism in Japanese Politics", Journal of East Asian Studies, 10(2), pp.239~273 (2010), 동아시아연구원
  55. OECD, "OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers" (2021)
  56. Okimoto, Daniel I, "Between MITI and the Market: Japanese Industrial Policy for High Technology" (1989), Stanford University Press
  57. Park, Gene, "The Tax-welfare Mix: Explaining Japan’s Weak Extractive Capacity", The Pacific Review, 27(5), pp.675~702 (2014)
  58. Reed, Steven R, "Patronage and Predominance: How the LDP Maintains Its Hold on Power Get access Arrow", Social Science Japan Journal, 25(1), pp.83~100 (2022)
  59. Rosenbluth, Frances McCall, "Japan Transformed:Political Change and Economic Restructuring" (2010), Princeton University Press
  60. Samuels, Richard, "The Business of the Japanese State" (1987), Cornell University Press
  61. Sasada, Hinonori, "The “Third Arrow” or Friendly Fire? The LDP Government’s Reform Plan for the Japan Agricultural Cooperatives", The Japanese Political Economy, 41(1-2), pp.14~35 (2015)
  62. Schaede, Ulrike, "The “Old Boy” Network and Government-Business Relationships in Japan", The Journal of Japanese Studies, 21(2), pp.293~317 (1995)
  63. Scheiner, Ethan, "Patrons, Clients and Policies: Patterns of Democratic Accountability and Political Competition" (2007), Cambridge University Press
  64. Ethan Scheiner, "The Electoral System and Japan's Partial Transformation: Party System Consolidation Without Policy Realignment", Journal of East Asian Studies, 12(3), pp.351~379 (2012), 동아시아연구원
  65. Shibata, Saori, "Re-packaging Old Policies? ‘Abenomics’ and the Lack of an Alternative Growth Model for Japan’s Political Economy", Japan Forum, 29(3), pp.399~422 (2017)
  66. Solís, Mireya, "The Japan-Mexico FTA: A Cross-Regional Step in the Path towards Asian Regionalism", Pacific Affairs, 80(2), pp.279~301 (2007)
  67. Thelen, Kathleen, "How Institutions Evolve: The Political Economy of Skills in Germany, Britain, the United States, and Japan" (2004), Cambridge University Press
  68. Tiberghien, Yves, "The Great Transformation of Japanese Capitalism", pp.62~91 (2014), Routledge
  69. Tilton, Mark, "Informal Market Governance in Japan’s Basic Materials Industries", International Organization, 48(4), pp.663~685 (1994)
  70. Tilton, Mark, "Restrained Trade: Cartels in Japan’s Basic Materials Industries" (1996), Cornell University Press
  71. Ueda, Kazuo, "Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy under Abenomics", Asian Economic Policy Review, 8(2), pp.252~269 (2013)
  72. Vogel, Steven, "When Interests Are Not Preferences: The Cautionary Tale of Japanese Consumers", Comparative Politics, 31(2), pp.187~207 (1999)
  73. Vogel, Steven, "Japan Remodeled: How Government and Industry Are Reforming Japanese Capitalism" (2006), Cornell University Press
  74. Winter, Markus, "Abe and the Bureaucracy: Tightening the Reins", The Diplomat, ~ (2016)
  75. Wolf, Martin, "Japan Can Put People before Profits: The Key to a Betterbalanced Economy Is to Take Surplus Profits away from a Corporate Oligopoly", Financial Times, ~ (2013)
  76. Wong, Joseph, "Betting on Biotech: Innovation and the Limits of Asia’s Developmental State" (2011), Cornell University Press
  77. Woodall, Brian, "The Logic of Collective Action: The Political Roots of Japan’s Dango System", Comparative Politics, 25(3), pp.297~312 (1993)
  78. Yamamura, Kozo, "The End of Diversity? Prospects for German and Japanese Capitalism" (2003), Cornell University Press

관련 논문AI추천

Japanese Capitalism and Distributive Politics: Impact of the 2008 Global FinancialCrisis and Prospects of AbenomicsJennifer Sejin Oh이화사회과학원 · 사회과학연구논총2013 · 제2권 제29호일본형 경제개혁시스템의 이슈: 개혁의 실패 혹은 제3의 모형?김기석현대일본학회 · 일본연구논총2005 · 제21호일본 민주당의 대외경제정책: 정권교체하의 변용과 지속김영근현대일본학회 · 일본연구논총2013 · 제38호일본식 자본주의 변화와 전망: 조절이론의 관점에서김현정, 이기완동아시아국제정치학회 · 국제정치연구2020 · 제23권 제4호전후일본 정치경제시스템과 구조개혁론이정환현대일본학회 · 일본연구논총2016 · 제44호내셔널리즘과 신자유주의를 넘어?: 민주당 집권과 일본의 탈발전국가 전략송주명민주사회정책연구원 · 민주사회와 정책연구2010 · 제17호

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (16건)

서문: 글로벌 금융위기 이후 동아시아 발전모델의 변화와 지속임혜란pp. 3-5글로벌 금융위기 이후 한국 발전모델의 지속과 변화윤상우pp. 7-40글로벌 금융위기 이후 대만 발전모델의 변화와 지속조한나, 임혜란pp. 41-72글로벌 금융위기 이후 중국 발전모델의 변화: 반도체 산업정책 사례이왕휘pp. 107-1342008년 이후 베트남 발전모델의 변화: 혼종성의 내향적 정교화김용균, 명재석pp. 135-168
원문 보기